trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 18 | -8.4% | -17.1% | 17% | 17% | -1.9% |
| ≤30d | 18 | -8.4% | -17.1% | 17% | 17% | -1.9% |
| ≤90d | 18 | -8.4% | -17.1% | 17% | 17% | -1.9% |
| all | 18 | -8.4% | -17.1% | 17% | 17% | -1.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -17.1% | 17% | -1.9% |
| 10% | -25.0% | 17% | -11.3% |
| 15% | -32.3% | 17% | -19.8% |
| 20% | -38.9% | 6% | -27.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | Yes | 53¢ | 52¢ | $87 | $86 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? | Yes | 51¢ | 50¢ | $68 | $67 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? | Yes | 59¢ | 58¢ | $55 | $55 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw? | Yes | 32¢ | 32¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 39¢ | 28¢ | $15 | $11 | −$4 (-28%) |
| Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? | Yes | 12¢ | 12¢ | $9 | $9 | −$0 (-4%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $48 | −$3 | -6% |
| Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 24 | $42 | −$3 | -8% |
| Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 24 | $32 | −$1 | -4% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET | Jun 24 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 24 | $34 | +$19 | +55% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 21 | $73 | −$3 | -4% |
| Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $5 | $0 | -8% |
| Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $5 | −$1 | -14% |
| Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 21 | $20 | −$1 | -7% |
| Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $7 | −$1 | -9% |
| Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $64 | +$31 | +48% |
| Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | Jun 20 | $21 | −$2 | -8% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $30 | +$15 | +50% |
| Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | Jun 20 | $4 | −$1 | -17% |
| Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 20 | $4 | $0 | -6% |
| Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 20 | $14 | −$1 | -5% |
| Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 20 | $15 | −$1 | -7% |