trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Grigor Dimitrov win the 2026 Australian Open? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | Jun 12 | $308,431 | +$2,539 | +1% |
| ITF Curtea de Arges: Anas Mazdrashki vs David Eichenseher | Jun 11 | $83 | +$17 | +20% |
| Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los An | Jun 09 | $256 | +$151 | +59% |
| Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 202 | Jun 09 | $4,940 | +$60 | +1% |
| Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 | Jun 09 | $4,945 | +$55 | +1% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 08 | $540 | −$540 | -100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | Jun 08 | $1 | +$337 | +48150% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 15? | Jun 08 | $20,890 | +$252 | +1% |
| Iran closes its airspace by July 31? | Jun 08 | $1,942 | +$2 | +0% |
| Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? | Jun 08 | $545,481 | +$32,101 | +6% |
| Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Jun 07 | $1,820 | +$4,174 | +229% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 06 | $350,000 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 30? | Jun 04 | $1,299 | +$2,080 | +160% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | Jun 04 | $362,749 | +$459,818 | +127% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 13 | +162.9% | +137.9% | 77% | 31% | -6.7% |
| ≤30d | 15 | +160.3% | +135.6% | 80% | 40% | +18.7% |
| ≤90d | 15 | +160.3% | +135.6% | 80% | 40% | +18.7% |
| all | 15 | +160.3% | +135.6% | 80% | 40% | +18.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +135.6% | 40% | +18.7% |
| 10% | +113.0% | 33% | +7.4% |
| 15% ← realistic here | +92.4% | 33% | -3.0% |
| 20% | +73.6% | 33% | -12.5% |