Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:50:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DF
0xdf13…2a9d
crypto · 143 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$159 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$156 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized−$156
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)28%
Wins / losses40 / 102
Open positions1
Markets (closed)142 / 143
History coverage11d
Avg bet$25
Trades / day65.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 142 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$35
7 days−$43
14 days−$156
30 days−$156
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Up 55¢ 98¢ $6 $10 +$4 (+77%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 33¢ 2¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $95 $0 −$95 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$2 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$3 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$3 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $22 −$2 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$4 +156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$5 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$5 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $37 −$2 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $41 −$3 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $40 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$2 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$3 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $18 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $49 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$2 -10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$159
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $6 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $8 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $8 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $3 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $9 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $2 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $0 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +13%
net ROI/market (all)-10.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 103 -0.8% -10.2% 29% 17% -12.0%
≤30d 142 -1.2% -10.6% 28% 13% -13.5%
≤90d 142 -1.2% -10.6% 28% 13% -13.5%
all 142 -1.2% -10.6% 28% 13% -13.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover65.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.6% 13% -13.5%
10% ← realistic here -19.2% 7% -21.7%
15% -27.0% 4% -29.3%
20% -34.1% 3% -36.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.00 · official $10.00 (match) · 857 history records