trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -37.8% | -43.7% | 0% | 0% | -43.7% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +5.6% | -4.4% | 50% | 50% | -21.1% |
| ≤90d | 10 | +12.6% | +1.8% | 50% | 50% | -13.4% |
| all | 10 | +12.6% | +1.8% | 50% | 50% | -13.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +1.8% | 50% | -13.4% |
| 10% | -7.9% | 50% | -21.7% |
| 15% | -16.8% | 50% | -29.2% |
| 20% | -25.0% | 50% | -36.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? | No | 49¢ | 78¢ | $374 | $599 | +$225 (+60%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30? | Jun 19 | $199 | −$75 | -38% |
| Will Vila Nova FC win on 2026-06-08? | Jun 09 | $102 | +$107 | +105% |
| Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of | Jun 08 | $180 | +$99 | +55% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 26? | May 22 | $228 | −$220 | -97% |
| Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-M | May 14 | $202 | −$172 | -85% |
| Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026? | May 03 | $218 | +$164 | +75% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 29? | Apr 29 | $181 | −$175 | -97% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 20? | Apr 20 | $92 | +$90 | +98% |
| Will Sergio Perez finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Pr | Apr 17 | $94 | −$3 | -3% |
| Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on April 10? | Apr 10 | $100 | +$118 | +118% |