Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:47:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DE
0xdef7…ef42
crypto · 336 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,896 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,896 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,896
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses186 / 150
Whale WR (big bets)73%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)336 / 336
History coverage402d
Avg bet$116
Trades / day5.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit69%
Chart Positions 0 History 336 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,239
7 days−$2,241
14 days−$2,241
30 days−$2,241
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $87 $0 −$87 (-100%)
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31? Yes 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown? Yes 63¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $1,222 −$459 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $1,304 +$19 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $602 +$34 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $803 +$17 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $1,288 −$319 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $514 +$70 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $512 −$236 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $1,042 −$44 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $502 +$27 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $703 +$45 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $1,153 −$702 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $1,025 +$168 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $253 +$14 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $1,051 −$350 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $215 +$21 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $815 +$38 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $511 +$58 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $713 +$73 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $731 +$47 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $508 +$31 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $502 +$39 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $620 −$123 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $744 +$88 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $1,132 +$111 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $304 +$34 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $530 −$206 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $1,019 +$83 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $217 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $206 +$25 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $865 +$40 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $207 −$200 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $215 −$123 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $508 +$19 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $219 +$7 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $715 +$22 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $247 −$46 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $536 +$90 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $304 −$304 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $517 −$467 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $205 −$2 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $102 +$19 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $303 +$22 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $402 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$6 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $206 +$26 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$7 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $102 +$5 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 94% −$2,165
other 5% +$288
tech 0% −$5
world 0% −$8
politics 0% +$3
weather 0% −$7
sports 0% $0
culture 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $203 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $304 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Down 75¢ $4 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Down 75¢ $4 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Down 75¢ $3 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Down 75¢ $2 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Down 75¢ $38 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Down 75¢ $38 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Down 75¢ $4 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Down 75¢ $12 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Down 75¢ $38 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Down 75¢ $20 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Down 75¢ $22 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Down 75¢ $3 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Down 75¢ $18 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Down 75¢ $5 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Down 75¢ $7 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Down 75¢ $17 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Down 75¢ $75 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Down 75¢ $20 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Down 75¢ $22 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Down 75¢ $60 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Down 75¢ $4 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Down 75¢ $4 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Down 75¢ $4 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Down 75¢ $2 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Down 75¢ $4 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Down 75¢ $10 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Down 75¢ $5 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Down 76¢ $312 31m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-18.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 80 -14.6% -22.7% 62% 20% -15.3%
≤30d 80 -14.6% -22.7% 62% 20% -15.3%
≤90d 80 -14.6% -22.7% 62% 20% -15.3%
all 336 -10.4% -18.9% 55% 29% -13.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.5 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.9% 29% -13.0%
10% -26.7% 18% -21.3%
15% -33.8% 12% -28.9%
20% -40.2% 9% -35.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2390 history records