trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 10 | +48.5% | +34.4% | 40% | 40% | +35.9% |
| ≤30d | 17 | +26.3% | +14.3% | 35% | 35% | +30.4% |
| ≤90d | 17 | +26.3% | +14.3% | 35% | 35% | +30.4% |
| all | 17 | +26.3% | +14.3% | 35% | 35% | +30.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +14.3% | 35% | +30.4% |
| 10% | +3.4% | 35% | +17.9% |
| 15% | -6.6% | 29% | +6.5% |
| 20% | -15.8% | 24% | -3.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? | No | 8¢ | 26¢ | $150 | $514 | +$364 (+243%) |
| Harry Kane: 2+ goals | Yes | 15¢ | 14¢ | $100 | $89 | −$11 (-11%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 9¢ | $100 | $85 | −$15 (-15%) |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 7¢ | 5¢ | $100 | $62 | −$38 (-38%) |
| Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Croatia? | Yes | 14¢ | 12¢ | $60 | $55 | −$5 (-9%) |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | No | 3¢ | 4¢ | $30 | $43 | +$13 (+43%) |
| Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goals | Yes | 23¢ | 0¢ | $114 | $0 | −$114 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? | Jun 14 | $200 | −$72 | -36% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | Jun 14 | $175 | −$127 | -72% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 14? | Jun 14 | $50 | −$45 | -90% |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? | Jun 14 | $396 | +$655 | +166% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $70 | −$68 | -98% |
| Will Iran close its airspace by July 15? | Jun 14 | $35 | +$190 | +544% |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 15? | Jun 14 | $250 | +$534 | +214% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 14 | $265 | −$259 | -98% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 12? | Jun 11 | $66 | −$41 | -62% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 13? | Jun 10 | $54 | +$12 | +22% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 10? | Jun 09 | $180 | −$110 | -61% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 9? | Jun 09 | $33 | −$19 | -56% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 08 | $200 | +$82 | +41% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | Jun 07 | $56 | −$43 | -77% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 15? | Jun 07 | $169 | +$571 | +338% |
| Will Enrique Riquelme win the 2026 Real Madrid presidential election? | Jun 07 | $15 | −$15 | -97% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | May 30 | $197 | −$195 | -99% |