Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T12:15:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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DE 0xdeeb…e5ad crypto 1035 markets active 1h ago coverage 10d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 10d only
✗ bot/MM pace (249 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$39 (+2%) realized +$39 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -19% what you keep after slip
Net edge-19%after slip
Net WR39%break-even
Win rate57%592W / 443L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day249.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$3
14 days−$41
30 days−$41
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$41
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (249 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-5.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 121 +2.1% -7.6% 99% 4% -7.6%
≤30d 1035 +4.8% -5.2% 57% 39% -11.6%
≤90d 1035 +4.8% -5.2% 57% 39% -11.6%
all 1035 +4.8% -5.2% 57% 39% -11.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover249.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.2% 39% -11.6%
10% ← realistic here -14.3% 34% -20.1%
15% -22.6% 26% -27.8%
20% -30.2% 13% -34.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
32% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +5% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +5% → late +4% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.62 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.83 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

10d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$39
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses592 / 443
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1035 / 1035
History coverage10d ⚠
Avg bet$2
Trades / day249.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1035 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 40m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 49m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 55m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 56m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records