trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 51 | -13.7% | -21.9% | 82% | 12% | -12.4% |
| ≤30d | 133 | +6.9% | -3.3% | 90% | 21% | -9.1% |
| ≤90d | 665 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 92% | 11% | -12.3% |
| all | 1038 | +0.8% | -8.8% | 95% | 7% | -10.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -8.8% | 7% | -10.5% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -17.5% | 5% | -19.1% |
| 15% | -25.5% | 3% | -26.9% |
| 20% | -32.8% | 2% | -34.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | $500 | $500 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Spread: Haiti (-2.5) | Brazil | 100¢ | 100¢ | $500 | $499 | −$1 (-0%) |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 16? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | $320 | $321 | +$1 (+0%) |
| Spread: DR Congo (-2.5) | Portugal | 100¢ | 99¢ | $240 | $239 | −$1 (-0%) |
| Spread: Algeria (-2.5) | Argentina | 99¢ | 99¢ | $110 | $110 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Spread: Senegal (-2.5) | France | 100¢ | 99¢ | $100 | $100 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Spread: Canada (-3.5) | Qatar | 87¢ | 86¢ | $70 | $70 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Spread: Algeria (-1.5) | Argentina | 98¢ | 97¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-1%) |
| France vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5 | Over | 94¢ | 94¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 67¢ | 66¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: IR Iran (-2.5) | Jun 16 | $100 | +$1 | +1% |
| Spread: Saudi Arabia (-2.5) | Jun 16 | $100 | $0 | +0% |
| Spread: Egypt (-2.5) | Jun 15 | $150 | +$1 | +1% |
| Spread: Cabo Verde (-2.5) | Jun 15 | $100 | $0 | +0% |
| Spread: Cabo Verde (-1.5) | Jun 15 | $200 | +$1 | +0% |
| Spread: Tunisia (-2.5) | Jun 15 | $30 | $0 | +1% |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5 | Jun 15 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Spread: Ecuador (-2.5) | Jun 15 | $20 | +$1 | +3% |
| Spread: Netherlands (-2.5) | Jun 14 | $10 | +$1 | +10% |
| Spread: Curaçao (-2.5) | Jun 14 | $300 | $0 | +0% |
| Spread: Germany (-5.5) | Jun 14 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Spread: Türkiye (-2.5) | Jun 14 | $30 | +$4 | +13% |
| Spread: Haiti (-2.5) | Jun 14 | $70 | $0 | +1% |
| Spread: Scotland (-2.5) | Jun 14 | $1 | $0 | +24% |
| Spread: Morocco (-2.5) | Jun 14 | $100 | +$1 | +1% |
| Spread: Morocco (-1.5) | Jun 14 | $40 | +$2 | +4% |
| Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) | Jun 13 | $15 | +$7 | +44% |
| Spread: Qatar (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $50 | +$1 | +1% |
| Spread: Switzerland (-3.5) | Jun 13 | $40 | +$7 | +17% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Spread: Paraguay (-2.5) | Jun 13 | $50 | $0 | +1% |
| Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox | Jun 13 | $20 | +$1 | +4% |
| San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles | Jun 13 | $10 | +$1 | +7% |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers | Jun 13 | $10 | $0 | +3% |
| Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | Jun 13 | $30 | $0 | +1% |
| Spread: Germany (-4.5) | Jun 13 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-2.5) | Jun 12 | $100 | +$1 | +1% |
| Spread: Czechia (-2.5) | Jun 12 | $30 | +$1 | +3% |
| Spread: South Africa (-1.5) | Jun 11 | $50 | +$1 | +2% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Spread: Athletics (-3.5) | Jun 11 | $30 | +$1 | +4% |
| Spread: Knicks (-12.5) | Jun 11 | $500 | $0 | +0% |
| Spread: Knicks (-9.5) | Jun 11 | $400 | +$2 | +0% |
| Spread: Knicks (-5.5) | Jun 11 | $50 | +$1 | +1% |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays | Jun 11 | $10 | $0 | +4% |
| Spread: Spurs (-7.5) | Jun 11 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 10? | Jun 10 | $50 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 10? | Jun 10 | $600 | +$1 | +0% |
| Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels | Jun 10 | $80 | +$2 | +2% |
| Spread: Chicago White Sox (-3.5) | Jun 10 | $50 | +$1 | +2% |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox | Jun 10 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5) | Jun 10 | $50 | +$1 | +2% |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies | Jun 10 | $40 | +$8 | +21% |
| Spread: Venezuela (-2.5) | Jun 10 | $10 | +$1 | +11% |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics | Jun 10 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets | Jun 10 | $100 | +$1 | +1% |
| Spread: Cambodia (-2.5) | Jun 10 | $40 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 9? | Jun 09 | $100 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 9? | Jun 09 | $600 | +$1 | +0% |