Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:55:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DE
0xdeea…86c9
other · 419 markets active 4h ago
0.0score
−$136 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$134 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$51
Realized−$134
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses132 / 268
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions19
Markets (closed)400 / 419
History coverage28d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day22.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit47%
Chart Positions 19 History 400 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$9
7 days−$28
14 days−$117
30 days−$134
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 18¢ 16¢ $15 $14 −$1 (-9%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 9¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+3%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-8%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 18¢ 16¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-8%)
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 36¢ 38¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+4%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 55¢ 56¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+3%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Yes 48¢ 48¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
OC Safi vs. Kawkab AC: Both Teams to Score Yes 44¢ 43¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Will Maghreb AS de Fès win on 2026-06-12? Yes 34¢ 32¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-4%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 49¢ 46¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-5%)
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Yes 16¢ 14¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-16%)
Kawkab AC to score first vs. OC Safi? Yes 35¢ 42¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+21%)
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Yes 19¢ 22¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+18%)
Will Club ABB win on 2026-05-14? Yes 22¢ 24¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+7%)
FathUnionSport vs. Maghreb AS de Fès: Both Teams to Score Yes 44¢ 46¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+5%)
Will Kawkab AC win on 2026-06-12? Yes 23¢ 22¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Difaâ Hassani El Jadida win on 2026-06-12? Yes 44¢ 43¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
COD Meknès vs. RCA Zemamra: Both Teams to Score Yes 45¢ 40¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-12%)
Will RCA Zemamra win on 2026-06-12? Yes 29¢ 18¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-38%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $5 +$8 +158%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $1 +$1 +93%
Will Avaí FC win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Will SC Recife win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bolivia vs. Algeria: Bolivia O/U 0.5 Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Grêmio Novorizontino win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $1 +$2 +238%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $2 +$1 +54%
Orebro SK vs. GIF Sundsvall: Both Teams to Score Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Orebro SK win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $1 +$1 +145%
Will Varbergs BoIS win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $2 +$1 +32%
Will Raja Club Athletic win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Moldova win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Will RCA Zemamra win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Will COD Meknès win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Maghreb AS de Fès vs. AS FAR: Both Teams to Score Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Will AA Ponte Preta win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Kawkab AC vs. Raja Club Athletic: Both Teams to Score Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Mozambique win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Falkenbergs FF win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Austria win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Hong Kong SAR win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
RCA Zemamra vs. UnionTouargaSports: Both Teams to Score Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Poland win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Thailand win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Will China PR win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Sierra Leone win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Will AS FAR win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Nordic United FC win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Ostersunds FK win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $2 $0 -22%
Will IFK Varnamo win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Fortaleza EC win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $1 +$2 +238%
Will UD Almería win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $1 +$3 +325%
Will IFK Norrkoping FK win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $2 +$5 +234%
Will IK Brage win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $3 +$2 +70%
Will Hungary win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $2 $0 -7%
Will Belarus win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $2 +$1 +54%
Will Chile win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $2 +$4 +202%
Will Ljungskile SK win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $1 $0 -1%
Will Malawi win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $3 −$2 -76%
Will Tajikistan win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $7 −$5 -77%
Will Cambodia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $2 $0 -1%
Will Olympic Dcheira win on 2026-06-08? Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Will OC Safi win on 2026-06-08? Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Will CDPJuniorFC win on 2026-06-08? Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 48% −$87
sports 26% +$1
weather 23% −$52
world 3% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 48¢ $1 3h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 48¢ $1 3h
Will Difaâ Hassani El Jadida win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 44¢ $1 3h
COD Meknès vs. RCA Zemamra: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 45¢ $1 3h
Will RCA Zemamra win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 29¢ $1 3h
Will Kawkab AC win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 23¢ $1 4h
OC Safi vs. Kawkab AC: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 44¢ $1 4h
Kawkab AC to score first vs. OC Safi? BUY Yes 35¢ $1 4h
OC Safi vs. Kawkab AC: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 44¢ $1 4h
Will Maghreb AS de Fès win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 34¢ $2 4h
FathUnionSport vs. Maghreb AS de Fès: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 44¢ $1 4h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 51¢ $1 23h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 38¢ $1 23h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? SELL Yes 85¢ $3 40h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 54¢ $2 40h
Will SC Recife win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 54¢ $1 40h
Will Grêmio Novorizontino win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 29¢ $1 40h
Will Avaí FC win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 21¢ $1 41h
Bolivia vs. Algeria: Bolivia O/U 0.5 BUY Over 56¢ $1 41h
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-06-10? SELL Yes 61¢ $3 41h
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 24¢ $1 42h
Will Varbergs BoIS win on 2026-06-10? SELL Yes 78¢ $3 43h
Will UD Almería win on 2026-06-09? SELL Yes 96¢ $4 2d
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 25¢ $1 2d
Will UD Almería win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 22¢ $1 2d
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 14¢ $1 2d
Will Varbergs BoIS win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 58¢ $2 2d
Orebro SK vs. GIF Sundsvall: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 55¢ $1 2d
Will Orebro SK win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 49¢ $1 2d
Will Fortaleza EC win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 29¢ $1 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-21.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 177 -16.7% -24.7% 31% 30% -17.6%
≤30d 400 -13.2% -21.5% 33% 30% -20.6%
≤90d 400 -13.2% -21.5% 33% 30% -20.6%
all 400 -13.2% -21.5% 33% 30% -20.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover22.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.5% 30% -20.6%
10% ← realistic here -29.0% 30% -28.2%
15% -35.9% 29% -35.2%
20% -42.2% 28% -41.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $50.53 · official $50.50 (match) · 915 history records