Wallet analysis

2026-06-27T18:21:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
DE 0xdee9…c228 crypto 11 markets active 2h ago coverage 120d
RISKYcopy with care ⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$98 (-15%) realized −$98 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -14% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate36%4W / 7L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$60per market
Trades / day1.0pace
Kalshi-fit73%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
other 80% −$94
crypto 13% $0
politics 4% −$1
sports 2% −$2
economics 1% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-22.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -0.1% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.6%
≤30d 1 -0.1% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.6%
≤90d 5 -4.7% -13.8% 60% 0% -23.7%
all 11 -13.7% -22.0% 36% 0% -23.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -22.0% 0% -23.3%
10% -29.4% 0% -30.6%
15% -36.2% 0% -37.3%
20% -42.5% 0% -43.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 32% · top 2 59% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -16% too few recent
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -14% · $-wt -15% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
9.9 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$17 · ×0.0 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.0 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

120d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$98
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses4 / 7
Open positions0
Markets (closed)11 / 11
History coverage120d
Avg bet$60
Trades / day1.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit73%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 11 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Xi Jinping out by June 30? Jun 27 $129 $0 -0%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? May 08 $392 −$93 -24%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 19? May 05 $27 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on April 3? Apr 07 $21 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 25? Apr 02 $22 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on March 19? Mar 25 $13 $0 +0%
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Mar 05 $12 $0 +0%
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? Mar 04 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Mar 03 $13 −$1 -9%
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Mar 02 $16 −$1 -8%
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals? Feb 28 $14 −$2 -11%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Xi Jinping out by June 30? SELL No 100¢ $129 1h
Xi Jinping out by June 30? BUY No 100¢ $129 1h
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? SELL Yes 2¢ $56 50d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? BUY Yes 4¢ $8 66d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? BUY Yes 4¢ $25 66d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? BUY Yes 4¢ $4 66d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? BUY Yes 4¢ $3 66d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? BUY Yes 4¢ $4 66d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? BUY Yes 4¢ $3 66d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? BUY Yes 4¢ $4 66d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? BUY Yes 4¢ $4 66d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? BUY Yes 4¢ $0 66d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? BUY Yes 4¢ $0 66d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? BUY Yes 4¢ $79 66d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? BUY Yes 4¢ $14 66d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 19? BUY Yes 100¢ $27 71d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? SELL Yes 4¢ $130 81d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 85d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 85d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 85d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? BUY Yes 4¢ $2 85d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? BUY Yes 4¢ $2 85d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? BUY Yes 4¢ $2 85d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? BUY Yes 4¢ $4 85d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? BUY Yes 4¢ $2 85d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? BUY Yes 4¢ $2 85d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? BUY Yes 4¢ $0 85d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 85d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? BUY Yes 4¢ $2 85d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? BUY Yes 4¢ $2 85d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 126 history records