Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T02:03:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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DE 0xdee5…9eec crypto 1689 markets active 0h ago coverage 35d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 34d only
✗ bot/MM pace (62 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$81 (+1%) realized +$81 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -12% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -32% what you keep after slip
Net edge-32%after slip
Net WR3%break-even
Win rate69%1159W / 529L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$7per market
Trades / day62.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$2now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$21
7 days−$47
14 days−$56
30 days−$74
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$109
weather 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (62 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-20.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 374 -19.5% -27.1% 60% 2% -11.5%
≤30d 1286 -15.2% -23.3% 62% 2% -10.5%
≤90d 1688 -12.0% -20.4% 69% 3% -10.4%
all 1688 -12.0% -20.4% 69% 3% -10.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover62.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.4% 3% -10.4%
10% ← realistic here -28.0% 1% -19.0%
15% -35.0% 1% -26.8%
20% -41.3% 1% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 12% · top 2 19% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
92% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -12% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -4% → late -20% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$2 · ×0.41 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.89 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

35d coverage
Net worth$2
Realized+$81
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses1159 / 529
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1688 / 1689
History coverage35d ⚠
Avg bet$7
Trades / day62.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 1688 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 17? No 96¢ 97¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 16 $9 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 16 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $10 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Up 100¢ $10 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $10 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.94 · official $1.94 (match) · 3500 history records