Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T19:46:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
DE 0xdee3…6fe5 sports 498 markets active 2h ago coverage 61d ⚠
BOTnot copyable sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 60d only
✗ bot/MM pace (53 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$117,039 (-16%) realized −$121,166 · open +$4,127
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -21% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -42% what you keep after slip
Net edge-42%after slip
Net WR39%break-even
Win rate41%202W / 291L
Whale WR49%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1,439per market
Trades / day52.8pace
Fees−$5,735est.
Kalshi-fit78%portable
Net worth$16,545now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6,234
7 days−$13,416
14 days−$32,460
30 days−$63,817
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 65% −$78,383
other 32% +$3,480
crypto 3% −$18,037
world 0% −$284
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (53 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-28.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 47 +14.1% +3.2% 38% 34% -23.2%
≤30d 214 -25.9% -32.9% 36% 33% -23.4%
≤90d 493 -21.0% -28.5% 41% 39% -22.1%
all 493 -21.0% -28.5% 41% 39% -22.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover52.8 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -28.5% 39% -22.1%
10% -35.3% 35% -29.6%
15% ← realistic here -41.6% 29% -36.4%
20% -47.3% 23% -42.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 8% · top 2 13% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -14% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
5% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -21% · $-wt -14% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 49% (≥$1,428) neutral
Persistence
early -14% → late -28% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
6.3 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$1,119 vs −$1,111 · ×1.01 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.7 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

61d coverage
Net worth$16,545
Realized−$121,166
Unrealized+$4,127
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses202 / 291
Whale WR (big bets)49%
Est. fees paid−$5,735
Open positions3
Markets (closed)493 / 498
History coverage61d ⚠
Avg bet$1,439
Trades / day52.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit78%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 3 History 493 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs Team Falcons 31¢ 42¢ $12,293 $16,332 +$4,039 (+33%)
Call of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Qualifiers Qualifier FaZe Vegas 56¢ 98¢ $116 $205 +$88 (+76%)
UFC Fight Night: Kevin Borjas vs. Andre Lima (Flyweight, Main Card) Kevin Borjas 19¢ 18¢ $8 $8 −$1 (-8%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 236 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 8.5 Jun 18 $36 −$35 -98%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 18 $1,553 −$1,518 -98%
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 5.5 Jun 18 $217 −$212 -98%
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - Asia M Jun 18 $3,238 −$3,202 -99%
Spread: Uzbekistan (-2.5) Jun 17 $23 −$23 -97%
Spread: Panama (-1.5) Jun 17 $565 −$550 -97%
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 5.5 Jun 17 $339 −$330 -97%
Spread: Croatia (-1.5) Jun 17 $375 −$365 -97%
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters Playo Jun 17 $1,151 +$652 +57%
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 5.5 Jun 17 $2,374 −$2,309 -97%
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 AND Will France win on 2026-06-16? AND Will A Jun 17 $23 +$91 +404%
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 5.5 Jun 17 $1,357 −$1,325 -98%
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 5.5 Jun 16 $1,183 −$1,152 -97%
France vs. Senegal: O/U 5.5 Jun 16 $15 −$15 -100%
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl Jun 16 $4,145 −$1,695 -41%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play Jun 16 $3,659 −$3,598 -98%
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 5.5 Jun 16 $461 −$448 -97%
Rainbow Six Siege: Fnatic vs Heretics (BO1) - Europe MENA League Stage Jun 15 $223 +$177 +79%
Rainbow Six Siege: G2 Esports vs Shifters (BO1) - Europe MENA League S Jun 15 $329 +$122 +37%
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 5.5 Jun 15 $501 −$487 -97%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playof Jun 15 $1,040 +$593 +57%
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 5.5 Jun 15 $32 −$31 -98%
LoL: Solary vs Galions (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs Jun 15 $5,628 +$752 +13%
Fenerbahce vs. Besiktas Jun 15 $19 −$18 -97%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $912 −$188 -21%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 15 $314 −$310 -99%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 15 $3,240 −$3,203 -99%
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $294 +$38 +13%
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 15 $6,136 +$782 +13%
Call of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs Carolina Royal Ravens (BO5) - Call of Jun 15 $5,579 +$3,921 +70%
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Jun 15 $101 +$87 +86%
Call of Duty: Toronto KOI vs Cloud9 New York (BO5) - Call of Duty Leag Jun 14 $5,887 +$1,428 +24%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $253 +$151 +60%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 14 $5,423 +$2,529 +47%
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $400 −$400 -100%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $2,815 +$4,272 +152%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 14 $235 −$230 -98%
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs G2 Minnesota (BO5) - Call of Duty Jun 14 $208 +$54 +26%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 14 $7,280 −$1,687 -23%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $239 −$236 -99%
Call of Duty: Toronto KOI vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Duty League Jun 13 $3,537 −$3,493 -99%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $100 +$134 +134%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $7,888 −$2,232 -28%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playo Jun 13 $574 −$569 -99%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $9,254 +$746 +8%
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Dut Jun 12 $130 −$127 -97%
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 12 $453 +$44 +10%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $12,039 −$11,873 -99%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,994 −$1,965 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $12,422 +$6,780 +55%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Pla BUY Team Falcons 32¢ $426 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Pla BUY Team Falcons 32¢ $81 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Pla BUY Team Falcons 32¢ $226 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Pla BUY Team Falcons 32¢ $342 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Pla BUY Team Falcons 32¢ $359 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Pla BUY Team Falcons 32¢ $1,072 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Pla BUY Team Falcons 32¢ $516 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Pla BUY Team Falcons 32¢ $258 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Pla BUY Team Falcons 32¢ $364 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Pla BUY Team Falcons 32¢ $614 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Pla BUY Team Falcons 32¢ $387 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Pla BUY Team Falcons 32¢ $120 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Pla BUY Team Falcons 32¢ $1,061 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Pla BUY Team Falcons 32¢ $704 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Pla BUY Team Falcons 32¢ $327 2h
Call of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty League BUY FaZe Vegas 56¢ $118 3h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Pla BUY Team Falcons 32¢ $1,095 3h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Pla BUY Team Falcons 30¢ $306 4h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Pla BUY Team Falcons 30¢ $334 4h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Pla BUY Team Falcons 30¢ $156 4h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Pla BUY Team Falcons 30¢ $429 5h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Pla BUY Team Falcons 30¢ $224 5h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Pla BUY Team Falcons 30¢ $2,533 6h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Pla BUY Team Falcons 30¢ $306 6h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Pla BUY Team Falcons 30¢ $306 6h
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 4¢ $11 20h
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 4¢ $4 20h
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 4¢ $15 20h
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 4¢ $5 20h
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) BUY Mexico 23¢ $1,553 21h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $16,544.51 · official $19,721.67 · 3500 history records