Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:25:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DE
0xded3…b470
crypto · 452 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$2,640 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,640 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,640
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses270 / 182
Open positions0
Markets (closed)452 / 452
Avg bet$122
Trades / day55.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 452 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,358
7 days−$2,173
14 days−$2,173
30 days−$2,159
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $180 $0 −$180 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $102 $0 −$102 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $61 $0 −$61 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $91 $0 −$91 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $164 +$36 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $51 +$35 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $123 +$41 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $48 −$46 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $61 −$61 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $88 +$18 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $112 +$13 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $167 +$14 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $256 +$57 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $320 −$180 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $93 −$91 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $111 −$56 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$16 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $231 +$32 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $22 +$6 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 11 $110 +$116 +106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 11 $170 +$30 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 11 $41 −$40 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 11 $73 +$36 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $122 −$7 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 11 $22 +$9 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $123 +$20 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 11 $15 +$12 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 11 $57 +$15 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 11 $68 +$8 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 11 $55 +$12 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 11 $124 +$45 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 11 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $96 +$27 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 11 $75 +$24 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 11 $32 −$31 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $131 +$22 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 11 $80 +$12 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 11 $72 −$70 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 11 $155 −$150 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 11 $103 −$100 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 11 $102 −$102 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $90 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 11 $103 −$100 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 11 $110 +$24 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 11 $199 +$99 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 11 $122 +$21 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 11 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 11 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 11 $118 −$118 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 11 $104 −$104 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 11 $156 −$156 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 11 $112 −$112 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$2,640
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $3 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $0 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $0 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $0 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $0 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $0 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $0 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $0 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $0 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $0 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $0 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $0 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $2 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $102 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $51 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $32 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $57 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $48 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $11 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-13.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 234 -4.3% -13.4% 57% 47% -17.1%
≤30d 240 -3.6% -12.8% 58% 48% -17.0%
≤90d 452 -4.8% -13.9% 60% 50% -14.0%
all 452 -4.8% -13.9% 60% 50% -14.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover55.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.9% 50% -14.0%
10% ← realistic here -22.1% 35% -22.2%
15% -29.6% 22% -29.8%
20% -36.5% 10% -36.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records