Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:37:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DE
0xdead…1b1e
crypto · 50 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$7 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$7
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses26 / 24
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)50 / 50
History coverage1d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day78.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 0 History 50 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$7
14 days−$7
30 days−$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Neither team to score first? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $46 +$14 +31%
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Jun 14 $2 $0 -7%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $1 $0 -31%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$10 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $10 +$5 +49%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $10 +$7 +72%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 +$6 +595%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $3 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $53 −$2 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$8 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $53 +$7 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$6 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $18 +$8 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $44 −$22 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$20 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$4 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$3 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +7%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $10 +$6 +60%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 −$3 -61%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $10 −$8 -79%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 82% −$29
other 12% −$1
sports 6% +$22
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 96¢ $34 55m
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? SELL Yes 31¢ $2 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $20 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 55¢ $5 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 13¢ $1 1h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $2 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 54¢ $5 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 18¢ $1 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 50¢ $21 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 47¢ $20 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners SELL Over 99¢ $15 9h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5 Total Corners SELL Over 100¢ $17 9h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $7 9h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 9h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 5¢ $3 11h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 58¢ $3 11h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $3 16h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 14¢ $1 16h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Neither team to score first? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 16h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners BUY Over 66¢ $10 16h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 57¢ $10 16h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 24¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Down 31¢ $2 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $3 19h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-13.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 50 -4.0% -13.1% 52% 42% -10.6%
≤30d 50 -4.0% -13.1% 52% 42% -10.6%
≤90d 50 -4.0% -13.1% 52% 42% -10.6%
all 50 -4.0% -13.1% 52% 42% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover78.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.1% 42% -10.6%
10% ← realistic here -21.5% 32% -19.2%
15% -29.0% 22% -27.0%
20% -36.0% 16% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 137 history records