Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T07:58:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
DE 0xdea9…dffb crypto 50 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (121 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$26 (+1%) realized +$26 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR33%break-even
Win rate69%34W / 15L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$37per market
Trades / day121.0pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit90%portable
Net worth$5now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 89% −$33
other 11% −$5
sports 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (121 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-10.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 49 -1.2% -10.6% 69% 33% -11.5%
≤30d 49 -1.2% -10.6% 69% 33% -11.5%
≤90d 49 -1.2% -10.6% 69% 33% -11.5%
all 49 -1.2% -10.6% 69% 33% -11.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover121.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.6% 33% -11.5%
10% ← realistic here -19.1% 18% -20.0%
15% -27.0% 14% -27.7%
20% -34.1% 8% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 15% · top 2 26% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
47% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -11% → late +8% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.3 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$14 · ×0.35 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.8 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$5
Realized+$26
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses34 / 15
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)49 / 50
History coverage1d
Avg bet$37
Trades / day121.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 49 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Up 70¢ 68¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 2 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 18 $36 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 18 $5 +$5 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 18 $30 +$2 +6%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 18 $27 $0 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 18 $30 −$2 -6%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 18 $15 −$3 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 18 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 18 $106 −$106 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 18 $116 +$4 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 18 $15 +$10 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 18 $41 +$24 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 18 $72 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 18 $81 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 18 $46 +$5 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 18 $36 −$4 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 18 $95 −$3 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 18 $20 +$10 +50%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 18 $62 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 18 $75 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 18 $56 −$4 -7%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 18 $5 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 18 $41 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 18 $15 +$5 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 18 $66 +$11 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 18 $15 −$15 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 18 $30 +$6 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 18 $31 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 18 $51 +$8 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 18 $46 −$29 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 18 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 18 $10 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 18 $51 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 18 $40 +$6 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 18 $31 $0 -0%
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? Jun 18 $80 +$6 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 18 $5 +$1 +10%
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? Jun 18 $7 −$3 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 18 $50 +$5 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 18 $51 +$18 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 18 $51 −$23 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 18 $25 +$5 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 18 $30 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 18 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 18 $25 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 18 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 18 $25 +$2 +9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Up 6¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $10 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $10 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $9 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $2 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $25 24m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Up 2¢ $0 26m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 28m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 29m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $10 29m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 30m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 31m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $10 35m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 37m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $100 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $100 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $5 50m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.89 · official $2.11 · 190 history records