trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 62¢ | 60¢ | $24 | $24 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 81¢ | 0¢ | $50 | $0 | −$50 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $46 | +$11 | +24% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $51 | −$28 | -55% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $25 | +$29 | +114% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 12 | $50 | −$50 | -99% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $15 | +$31 | +203% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $30 | −$17 | -56% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $23 | +$38 | +165% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $35 | +$15 | +42% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | +42.0% | +28.5% | 62% | 62% | +0.0% |
| ≤30d | 8 | +42.0% | +28.5% | 62% | 62% | +0.0% |
| ≤90d | 8 | +42.0% | +28.5% | 62% | 62% | +0.0% |
| all | 8 | +42.0% | +28.5% | 62% | 62% | +0.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +28.5% | 62% | +0.0% |
| 10% | +16.2% | 62% | -9.6% |
| 15% | +5.0% | 50% | -18.3% |
| 20% | -5.3% | 38% | -26.3% |