Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:01:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DE
0xdea3…293b
crypto · 858 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$528 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$528 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$528
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses414 / 443
Open positions0
Markets (closed)857 / 858
History coverage4d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day760.6
Drawdown97%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 857 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$304
7 days+$528
14 days+$528
30 days+$528
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$21 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$18 +144%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $66 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$16 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $73 −$12 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $27 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $29 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $76 −$15 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $19 +$12 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$10 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $27 +$19 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$7 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $35 −$3 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$14 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $33 −$3 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $17 −$2 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $56 +$12 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$18 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$19 +130%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $36 −$6 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$17 +138%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$17 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $56 +$4 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $44 +$19 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$8 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$9 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$19 +178%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $59 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $40 −$10 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$17 +138%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $51 +$9 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $102 −$13 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$13 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $38 +$27 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $56 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $43 −$10 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$14 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $33 −$3 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $42 −$6 -15%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$528
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $14 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $12 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $24 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $27 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $15 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $8 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $4 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $0 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $24 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $18 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $18 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $13 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $26 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $21 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $3 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $0 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $14 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $3 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $8 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $25 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $17 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $10 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $18 55m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-11.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 857 -2.2% -11.5% 48% 44% -7.1%
≤30d 857 -2.2% -11.5% 48% 44% -7.1%
≤90d 857 -2.2% -11.5% 48% 44% -7.1%
all 857 -2.2% -11.5% 48% 44% -7.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover760.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.5% 44% -7.1%
10% ← realistic here -20.0% 39% -16.0%
15% -27.7% 33% -24.1%
20% -34.8% 26% -31.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records