Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T04:29:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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DE 0xdea2…a81e crypto 359 markets active 1h ago coverage 83d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 83d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$318 (-0%) realized −$321 · open +$3
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -30% what you keep after slip
Net edge-30%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate90%316W / 37L
Whale WR71%big bets
Drawdown88%max
Avg bet$4,975per market
Trades / day38.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$8,887now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$584
7 days−$302
14 days−$482
30 days−$2,341
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$826
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 39 -1.3% -10.7% 97% 0% -9.9%
≤30d 153 -0.3% -9.8% 97% 0% -10.2%
≤90d 353 +0.3% -9.2% 90% 1% -9.5%
all 353 +0.3% -9.2% 90% 1% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover38.9 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.2% 1% -9.5%
10% -17.9% 0% -18.1%
15% ← realistic here -25.9% 0% -26.1%
20% -33.1% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 11% · top 2 17% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 71% (≥$4,541) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +1% → late -0% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
7.2 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$31 vs −$244 · ×0.13 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.09 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

83d coverage
Net worth$8,887
Realized−$321
Unrealized+$3
Win rate (resolved)90%
Wins / losses316 / 37
Whale WR (big bets)71%
Open positions6
Markets (closed)353 / 359
History coverage83d ⚠
Avg bet$4,975
Trades / day38.9
Drawdown88%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 6 History 353 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 17? No 100¢ 100¢ $2,139 $2,145 +$5 (+0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 17? No 100¢ 100¢ $1,595 $1,599 +$4 (+0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17? Yes 99¢ 99¢ $1,591 $1,588 −$3 (-0%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 17? No 99¢ 99¢ $1,284 $1,285 +$1 (+0%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 17? Yes 98¢ 98¢ $1,278 $1,275 −$4 (-0%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 17? Yes 100¢ 100¢ $997 $996 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 16? Jun 16 $1,493 +$7 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 16? Jun 16 $1,491 +$9 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 16? Jun 16 $3,498 +$14 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 16? Jun 16 $1,240 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 16? Jun 16 $1,495 +$5 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 16? Jun 16 $390 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 16? Jun 16 $2,464 +$25 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 15? Jun 15 $9,644 +$51 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 15? Jun 15 $1,984 +$14 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 15? Jun 15 $1,993 +$5 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 15? Jun 15 $1,157 +$4 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 15? Jun 15 $962 −$720 -75%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 14? Jun 14 $2,792 +$17 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 14? Jun 14 $499 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 14? Jun 14 $1,070 +$6 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 14? Jun 14 $996 +$4 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? Jun 14 $3,678 +$6 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 13? Jun 13 $142 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $497 +$3 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $991 +$9 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $1,492 +$8 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 12? Jun 12 $1,429 +$17 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 12? Jun 12 $1,091 +$4 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 12? Jun 12 $408 +$2 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $2,569 +$15 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 11? Jun 12 $592 +$13 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $941 +$4 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 11? Jun 12 $1,006 +$5 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $1,095 +$5 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 11? Jun 12 $1,169 +$22 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 11? Jun 12 $1,375 +$7 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $1,482 +$18 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $2,510 +$5 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $86 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 10? Jun 11 $1,494 +$6 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $1,648 +$14 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $1,994 +$6 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $2,161 +$50 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 10? Jun 11 $2,466 +$34 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 9? Jun 10 $1,106 +$25 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 9? Jun 10 $1,473 +$16 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 9? Jun 10 $1,493 +$7 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 9? Jun 10 $1,700 +$10 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 9? Jun 10 $1,991 +$9 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 8? Jun 08 $281 +$3 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 8? Jun 08 $928 +$4 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 8? Jun 08 $997 +$3 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $997 +$3 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $1,020 +$3 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $1,435 +$44 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 17? BUY Yes 100¢ $8 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 17? BUY No 99¢ $25 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 17? BUY No 99¢ $227 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 17? BUY No 99¢ $44 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 17? BUY Yes 98¢ $295 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17? BUY Yes 99¢ $99 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17? BUY Yes 99¢ $302 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 17? BUY Yes 100¢ $598 3h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 17? BUY No 99¢ $128 3h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 17? BUY No 99¢ $5 3h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 17? BUY No 99¢ $5 3h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 17? BUY No 99¢ $10 3h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 17? BUY No 99¢ $401 4h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 17? BUY Yes 98¢ $99 4h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 17? BUY No 99¢ $440 4h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 17? BUY Yes 98¢ $887 4h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 17? BUY No 100¢ $546 4h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 17? BUY No 100¢ $1,594 4h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 17? BUY Yes 100¢ $390 4h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 17? BUY No 100¢ $1,595 4h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17? BUY Yes 100¢ $1,190 4h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 16? BUY Yes 100¢ $1,240 13h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 16? BUY Yes 100¢ $102 13h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 16? BUY Yes 100¢ $1,032 13h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 16? SELL Yes 99¢ $1,406 13h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 16? SELL Yes 99¢ $969 14h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 16? BUY No 100¢ $488 14h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 16? BUY Yes 100¢ $388 14h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 16? BUY No 99¢ $486 17h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 16? BUY Yes 99¢ $496 18h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8,887.47 · official $8,887.47 (match) · 3500 history records