Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:22:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DE
0xde9a…f87d
crypto · 584 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$60 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$60 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$170
Realized−$60
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)87%
Wins / losses485 / 72
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions17
Markets (closed)557 / 584
History coverage32d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day23.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 17 History 557 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days−$5
14 days−$9
30 days−$66
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+0%)
Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+0%)
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+0%)
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+0%)
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on May 24? No 23¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C or below on June 12? Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on June 12? Jun 12 $7 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on June 12? Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on June 12? Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 12? Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 12? Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 12? Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on June 11? Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 11? Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on June 11? Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 11? Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on June 11? Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on Ju Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on Jun Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 11? Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on June 11? Jun 11 $10 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 11? Jun 11 $10 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on June 11? Jun 11 $10 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on June 11? Jun 11 $10 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on June 11? Jun 11 $10 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on June 11? Jun 11 $10 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C or below on June 11? Jun 11 $10 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 11? Jun 11 $10 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 11? Jun 11 $10 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C or below on June 11? Jun 11 $10 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on June 11? Jun 11 $10 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 11? Jun 11 $10 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on June 11? Jun 11 $10 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 11? Jun 11 $10 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 11? Jun 11 $10 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 11? Jun 11 $10 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on June 10? Jun 11 $10 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on June 10? Jun 11 $10 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C or below on June 1 Jun 11 $10 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 10? Jun 11 $10 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on June 10? Jun 11 $7 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on June 10? Jun 11 $10 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 10? Jun 11 $10 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on June 10? Jun 11 $10 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 10? Jun 11 $10 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on June 10? Jun 11 $10 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 10? Jun 11 $10 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 10? Jun 11 $10 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on June 10? Jun 11 $10 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on June 10? Jun 10 $10 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 10? Jun 10 $10 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on June 10? Jun 10 $10 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 10? Jun 10 $10 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 47% −$9
weather 45% −$31
other 6% $0
world 1% −$16
sports 1% −$3
politics 0% $0
economics 0% $0
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $10 28m
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $10 41m
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $10 48m
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $10 52m
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $10 52m
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $10 57m
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on Ju BUY No 100¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $0 1h
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $10 8h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $10 8h
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $10 10h
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $10 11h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $10 11h
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $10 12h
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on Jun BUY No 100¢ $10 12h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $10 13h
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $10 17h
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $10 17h
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $5 17h
Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $10 17h
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $7 18h
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C or below on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $10 18h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $10 19h
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $10 19h
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $10 19h
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $10 21h
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $10 24h
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $10 24h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-11.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 171 -0.5% -9.9% 99% 0% -9.8%
≤30d 467 -2.7% -11.9% 85% 1% -10.8%
≤90d 557 -2.1% -11.4% 87% 1% -10.5%
all 557 -2.1% -11.4% 87% 1% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover23.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.4% 1% -10.5%
10% ← realistic here -19.9% 1% -19.1%
15% -27.6% 0% -26.9%
20% -34.7% 0% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $169.91 · official $169.91 (match) · 1253 history records