Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:23:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DE
0xde92…cf29
crypto · 1116 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$113 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$107 · open −$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$8
Realized−$107
Unrealized−$6
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses527 / 588
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1115 / 1116
Avg bet$3
Trades / day31.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1115 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$9
7 days−$34
14 days−$46
30 days−$64
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Up 91¢ 55¢ $14 $8 −$6 (-40%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$3 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$6 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $13 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $13 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$4 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$3 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$17 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $36 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $35 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $33 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $42 −$8 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $37 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$12 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $23 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $33 −$16 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $34 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $17 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$5 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$103
other 1% −$3
world 0% −$5
sports 0% −$2
weather 0% +$1
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $6 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET SELL Down 12¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $6 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $7 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $8 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $15 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Down 17¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $15 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $11 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $2 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $10 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $10 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $2 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 53m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-15.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 228 -5.9% -14.8% 56% 35% -11.5%
≤30d 697 -3.0% -12.3% 56% 42% -11.7%
≤90d 1115 -6.4% -15.3% 47% 35% -12.2%
all 1115 -6.4% -15.3% 47% 35% -12.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover31.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.3% 35% -12.2%
10% ← realistic here -23.4% 29% -20.6%
15% -30.8% 16% -28.3%
20% -37.6% 13% -35.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8.40 · official $8.55 (match) · 3492 history records