trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.0% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.8% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 24 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 4% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.3% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.2% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 19 | $88 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 05 | $273 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026? | May 28 | $89 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 22 | $90 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | May 19 | $90 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me | May 16 | $90 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 12 | $90 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 08 | $90 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | Apr 17 | $91 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 14 | $91 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 27 | $183 | $0 | +0% |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 21 | $184 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 20 | $184 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Mar 18 | $184 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Mar 15 | $184 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 13 | $184 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Mar 10 | $184 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 06 | $184 | $0 | +0% |
| Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jan 29 | $176 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomina | Jan 04 | $173 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Oviedo win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Jan 03 | $175 | $0 | -0% |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jan 02 | $177 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jan 01 | $177 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in December? | Dec 30 | $178 | $0 | -0% |