Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:22:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DE
0xde78…a67a
crypto · 15 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$76 -18%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$76 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$76
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses8 / 7
Open positions0
Markets (closed)15 / 15
History coverage1d
Avg bet$28
Trades / day45.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 15 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$76
7 days−$76
14 days−$76
30 days−$76
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $54 −$53 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$45 +172%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$21 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$12 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$11 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $31 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$19 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $27 −$27 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$16 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $51 +$6 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$76
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $26 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $26 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $17 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $0 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $4 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $26 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $71 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $26 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $46 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $26 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $37 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $26 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $26 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $26 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET SELL Up 34¢ $0 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET SELL Up 36¢ $4 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET SELL Down 63¢ $26 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $5 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $26 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-16.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 15 -7.4% -16.3% 53% 53% -26.2%
≤30d 15 -7.4% -16.3% 53% 53% -26.2%
≤90d 15 -7.4% -16.3% 53% 53% -26.2%
all 15 -7.4% -16.3% 53% 53% -26.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover45.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.3% 53% -26.2%
10% ← realistic here -24.3% 47% -33.2%
15% -31.6% 33% -39.7%
20% -38.3% 27% -45.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 53 history records