trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | -9.2% | -17.8% | 44% | 44% | -41.6% |
| ≤30d | 11 | +18.7% | +7.4% | 45% | 45% | -33.8% |
| ≤90d | 11 | +18.7% | +7.4% | 45% | 45% | -33.8% |
| all | 26 | -3.7% | -12.9% | 50% | 31% | -26.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.9% | 31% | -26.2% |
| 10% | -21.2% | 27% | -33.2% |
| 15% | -28.8% | 23% | -39.7% |
| 20% | -35.8% | 23% | -45.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5 | Over | 0¢ | 44¢ | $0 | $38 | +$38 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $33 | +$17 | +52% |
| Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score | Jun 20 | $53 | −$3 | -6% |
| Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 | Jun 20 | $21 | +$6 | +31% |
| Scotland vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score | Jun 19 | $50 | −$50 | -98% |
| Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score | Jun 18 | $41 | −$41 | -99% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $107 | −$106 | -99% |
| England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score | Jun 17 | $50 | +$50 | +101% |
| Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 | Jun 17 | $41 | −$40 | -99% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $15 | +$21 | +140% |
| Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5 AND Will Netherlands win on 2026-06 | Jun 15 | $10 | +$40 | +388% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-25? | Dec 31 | $64 | −$64 | -100% |
| Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-11-24? | Dec 31 | $52 | −$52 | -100% |
| Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-30? | Dec 31 | $80 | −$80 | -100% |
| Will Tunisia win on 2025-12-30? | Dec 31 | $243 | −$243 | -100% |
| Will West Ham United FC win on 2025-12-30? | Dec 31 | $238 | −$238 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025? | Dec 23 | $531 | +$5 | +1% |
| Will Elche CF win on 2025-12-07? | Dec 10 | $198 | +$252 | +127% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 November 24-30? | Dec 01 | $145 | +$5 | +4% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November? | Dec 01 | $158 | +$2 | +1% |
| Will AS Roma win on 2025-11-27? | Nov 28 | $62 | +$38 | +61% |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? | Nov 25 | $180 | −$28 | -16% |
| Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30? | Nov 25 | $77 | −$2 | -3% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 15? | Nov 24 | $107 | +$3 | +3% |
| Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025? | Nov 15 | $88 | +$6 | +7% |
| Will Google have the top AI model on December 31? | Nov 13 | $78 | +$8 | +11% |