Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:42:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DE
0xde70…615f
crypto · 72 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$110 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$98 · open −$12
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$123
Realized−$98
Unrealized−$12
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses24 / 43
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions5
Markets (closed)67 / 72
History coverage11d
Avg bet$21
Trades / day22.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 5 History 67 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$302
7 days−$282
14 days−$98
30 days−$98
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 58¢ 57¢ $50 $50 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Switzerland 35¢ 34¢ $40 $39 −$1 (-1%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner KT Rolster 22¢ 24¢ $18 $20 +$2 (+11%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Team WE 20¢ 20¢ $14 $14 −$0 (-2%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster 9¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 Over 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $42 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$3 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$5 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$6 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $32 −$10 -31%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $30 +$22 +73%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $15 +$25 +165%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$5 -22%
Spread: Canada (-1.5) Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $17 −$13 -74%
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $28 +$63 +228%
United States leading at halftime? Jun 13 $19 +$27 +142%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $30 +$17 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$11 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $48 −$26 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $43 −$13 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $27 −$12 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 09 $9 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 09 $18 −$8 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 09 $18 +$10 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 09 $16 +$15 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 09 $10 +$18 +168%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 05 $16 +$18 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 05 $10 +$11 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 05 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 05 $12 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 05 $16 +$5 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 05 $16 +$15 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 05 $16 +$35 +222%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 78% −$188
sports 17% +$50
other 5% +$27
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $51 27m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Team WE 20¢ $15 33m
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) BUY Switzerland 35¢ $41 36m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster 22¢ $18 37m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY KT Rolster 1¢ $1 40m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY KT Rolster 24¢ $12 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 100¢ $53 5h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 SELL Over 100¢ $40 5h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 SELL Over 5¢ $4 5h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 37¢ $15 5h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 57¢ $30 6h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 18¢ $17 6h
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5 SELL Over 99¢ $78 7h
United States leading at halftime? SELL Yes 86¢ $26 7h
United States leading at halftime? SELL Yes 86¢ $10 7h
United States leading at halftime? SELL Yes 78¢ $11 7h
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5 SELL Over 52¢ $13 7h
United States leading at halftime? BUY Yes 34¢ $19 11h
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Over 26¢ $28 11h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 100¢ $47 11h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 63¢ $30 12h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 43¢ $33 12h
Spread: Canada (-1.5) BUY Canada 28¢ $20 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $29 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $9 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $10 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Down 45¢ $9 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $2 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-14.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 43 -40.7% -46.3% 21% 21% -38.7%
≤30d 67 -6.0% -14.9% 36% 36% -15.7%
≤90d 67 -6.0% -14.9% 36% 36% -15.7%
all 67 -6.0% -14.9% 36% 36% -15.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover22.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.9% 36% -15.7%
10% ← realistic here -23.1% 31% -23.8%
15% -30.5% 27% -31.1%
20% -37.3% 27% -37.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $123.15 · official $123.16 (match) · 285 history records