Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:56:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DE
0xde68…5b6c
finance · 10 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$1,905 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,398 · open −$305
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY finance specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$895
Realized+$1,398
Unrealized−$305
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses5 / 3
Open positions2
Markets (closed)8 / 10
History coverage4d
Avg bet$3,704
Trades / day504.9
Drawdown47%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 8 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,765
7 days+$1,398
14 days+$1,398
30 days+$1,398
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? Down 54¢ 62¢ $677 $785 +$108 (+16%)
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? Up 45¢ 38¢ $131 $108 −$23 (-17%)
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? Down 13¢ 0¢ $283 $1 −$282 (-100%)
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 9? Up 4¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 10? Up 7¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 8? Down 9¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 11? Down 6¢ 0¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $4,926 −$33 -1%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $7,008 +$853 +12%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 11 $3,833 +$250 +6%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $4,965 +$695 +14%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 9? Jun 10 $3,080 +$79 +3%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 9? Jun 09 $3,976 −$644 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 09 $57 −$27 -48%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 8? Jun 08 $1,699 +$226 +13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
finance 100% +$1,121
crypto 0% −$27
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 40¢ $1 2m
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 38¢ $2 7m
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 60¢ $60 7m
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 61¢ $61 10m
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 37¢ $7 11m
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 59¢ $56 11m
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 43¢ $43 12m
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 60¢ $60 13m
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 59¢ $3 13m
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 57¢ $3 14m
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 57¢ $1 14m
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 57¢ $13 14m
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 44¢ $16 14m
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 42¢ $8 15m
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 55¢ $3 15m
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 55¢ $3 15m
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 55¢ $1 15m
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 55¢ $1 15m
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 51¢ $51 15m
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 52¢ $52 15m
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 53¢ $53 15m
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 53¢ $53 16m
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 54¢ $54 16m
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 46¢ $23 16m
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 49¢ $3 16m
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 55¢ $2 18m
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 54¢ $31 19m
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 43¢ $22 19m
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 44¢ $4 20m
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 48¢ $48 22m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)+534.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 +601.2% +534.5% 62% 38% +0.5%
≤30d 8 +601.2% +534.5% 62% 38% +0.5%
≤90d 8 +601.2% +534.5% 62% 38% +0.5%
all 8 +601.2% +534.5% 62% 38% +0.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover504.9 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +534.5% 38% +0.5%
10% +473.7% 38% -9.1%
15% ← realistic here +418.3% 38% -17.9%
20% +367.5% 38% -25.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $894.96 · official $894.96 (match) · 2064 history records