Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:04:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DE
0xde55…3fb1
sports · 30 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$77 -26%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$75 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFresh edge⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$75
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)17%
Wins / losses5 / 24
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)29 / 30
History coverage126d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day1.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 1 History 29 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$9
14 days−$9
30 days−$9
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa South Africa 31¢ 16¢ $5 $2 −$2 (-50%)
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Zimbabwe (Game 1) Sri Lanka 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
T20 World Cup: England vs India England 7¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
T20 World Cup: India vs South Africa India 5¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
T20 World Cup: South Africa vs New Zealand South Africa 1¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
T20 World Cup: Afghanistan vs South Africa (Game 1) Afghanistan 16¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
T20 World Cup: Canada vs New Zealand (Game 1) Canada 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
T20 World Cup: Australia vs Zimbabwe (Game 1) Australia 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
T20 World Cup: Italy vs West Indies (Game 1) Italy 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
T20 World Cup: India vs West Indies West Indies 5¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
T20 World Cup: Pakistan vs USA (Game 1) USA 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan Jun 13 $6 −$1 -16%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $5 −$4 -98%
T20 World Cup: England vs India Mar 05 $79 −$43 -55%
T20 World Cup: South Africa vs New Zealand Mar 04 $20 −$8 -42%
T20 World Cup: India vs West Indies Mar 01 $84 −$4 -5%
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Pakistan Feb 28 $1 +$11 +1130%
T20 World Cup: India vs South Africa Feb 22 $20 −$20 -100%
T20 World Cup: New Zealand vs Pakistan Feb 21 $10 $0 -4%
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Zimbabwe (Game 1) Feb 19 $15 +$3 +22%
T20 World Cup: Italy vs West Indies (Game 1) Feb 19 $4 −$1 -20%
T20 World Cup: Ireland vs Zimbabwe (Game 1) Feb 17 $3 $0 -3%
T20 World Cup: Canada vs New Zealand (Game 1) Feb 17 $4 +$9 +216%
T20 World Cup: Australia vs Zimbabwe (Game 1) Feb 13 $1 −$1 -100%
T20 World Cup: Afghanistan vs South Africa (Game 1) Feb 11 $5 −$3 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Feb 10 $2 −$1 -38%
T20 World Cup: Pakistan vs USA (Game 1) Feb 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Feb 10 $1 +$2 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Feb 09 $2 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Feb 09 $3 −$1 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Feb 09 $4 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Feb 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Feb 07 $2 −$1 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Feb 07 $3 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Feb 07 $3 $0 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Feb 07 $3 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Feb 07 $3 −$2 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Feb 07 $3 −$2 -66%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 89% −$69
crypto 10% −$6
other 1% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa BUY South Africa 31¢ $5 1h
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan SELL Afghanistan 23¢ $5 1h
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan BUY Afghanistan 26¢ $6 1h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY Yes 20¢ $2 13h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 11¢ $2 45h
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? BUY Yes 21¢ $5 2d
T20 World Cup: England vs India BUY England 2¢ $5 99d
T20 World Cup: England vs India BUY England 13¢ $25 99d
T20 World Cup: England vs India BUY England 8¢ $1 99d
T20 World Cup: England vs India SELL England 9¢ $31 99d
T20 World Cup: England vs India BUY England 9¢ $10 99d
T20 World Cup: England vs India BUY England 11¢ $5 99d
T20 World Cup: England vs India BUY England 22¢ $10 99d
T20 World Cup: England vs India BUY England 10¢ $10 99d
T20 World Cup: England vs India BUY England 9¢ $2 99d
T20 World Cup: England vs India BUY England 9¢ $2 99d
T20 World Cup: England vs India SELL England 4¢ $5 99d
T20 World Cup: England vs India BUY England 3¢ $1 99d
T20 World Cup: England vs India BUY England 5¢ $1 99d
T20 World Cup: England vs India BUY England 7¢ $2 99d
T20 World Cup: England vs India BUY England 10¢ $4 99d
T20 World Cup: England vs India BUY England 9¢ $1 99d
T20 World Cup: South Africa vs New Zealand BUY South Africa 0¢ $1 100d
T20 World Cup: South Africa vs New Zealand BUY South Africa 0¢ $1 100d
T20 World Cup: South Africa vs New Zealand BUY South Africa 1¢ $1 100d
T20 World Cup: South Africa vs New Zealand BUY South Africa 3¢ $1 100d
T20 World Cup: South Africa vs New Zealand BUY South Africa 4¢ $1 100d
T20 World Cup: South Africa vs New Zealand BUY South Africa 4¢ $1 100d
T20 World Cup: South Africa vs New Zealand BUY South Africa 12¢ $1 100d
T20 World Cup: South Africa vs New Zealand BUY South Africa 19¢ $2 100d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)+14.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -78.9% -80.9% 0% 0% -67.8%
≤30d 4 -78.9% -80.9% 0% 0% -67.8%
≤90d 4 -78.9% -80.9% 0% 0% -67.8%
all 29 +26.2% +14.2% 17% 17% -54.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +14.2% 17% -54.7%
10% +3.2% 17% -59.0%
15% -6.7% 17% -63.0%
20% -15.9% 14% -66.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.50 · official $2.50 (match) · 141 history records