trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 6 | -0.5% | -10.0% | 33% | 0% | -10.2% |
| ≤90d | 6 | -0.5% | -10.0% | 33% | 0% | -10.2% |
| all | 24 | -4.0% | -13.2% | 33% | 0% | -11.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.2% | 0% | -11.3% |
| 10% | -21.5% | 0% | -19.8% |
| 15% | -29.1% | 0% | -27.6% |
| 20% | -36.0% | 0% | -34.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | $33 | $33 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 04 | $13 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 02 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Jun 01 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | May 30 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | May 30 | $3 | $0 | +2% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | May 28 | $36 | −$1 | -2% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | Dec 13 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Jaime Dunn win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? | Jun 23 | $17 | $0 | +1% |
| Will María Galindo win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? | Jun 22 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Will UCR hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the | Jun 22 | $17 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Vladimir Putin be the first leader out in 2025? | Jun 21 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trawlerman win the 2025 Ascot Gold Cup? | Jun 21 | $17 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1800 in June? | Jun 19 | $17 | $0 | +1% |
| Will SPD win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election? | Jun 18 | $17 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? | Jun 18 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump announce Judy Shelton as next Fed Chair? | Jun 18 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Will federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and | Jun 17 | $17 | $0 | -0% |
| Will The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025 | Jun 15 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Xi Jinping be the first leader out in 2025? | Jun 15 | $9 | −$2 | -24% |
| Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2025 World Series? | Jun 14 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut between $200-250b in federal spending in 2025? | Jun 13 | $19 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ludvig Aberg win The 2025 U.S. Open? | Jun 13 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 'Jurassic World: Rebirth' have the best domestic opening weekend | Jun 12 | $18 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Cătălin Predoiu? | Jun 12 | $7 | −$5 | -76% |