Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:09:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DE
0xde3f…7aae
crypto · 704 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$570 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$570 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$570
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses426 / 278
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)704 / 704
History coverage92d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day19.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 704 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$54
7 days+$53
14 days+$53
30 days+$53
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$4 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$6 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$6 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$4 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$4 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$9 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$12 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$8 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $33 −$3 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$4 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$9 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$7 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$6 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$3 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$9 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$10 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +30%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$560
other 0% −$5
sports 0% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 89¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $28 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 58¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $32 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-11.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 66 +12.7% +2.0% 79% 67% -2.6%
≤30d 66 +12.7% +2.0% 79% 67% -2.6%
≤90d 642 -2.4% -11.7% 60% 51% -15.0%
all 704 -1.7% -11.1% 61% 51% -14.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.1% 51% -14.8%
10% -19.6% 38% -22.9%
15% -27.4% 25% -30.4%
20% -34.5% 18% -37.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2161 history records