Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:58:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DE
0xde2c…fe66
sports · 397 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$38 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$42 · open +$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$17
Realized−$42
Unrealized+$5
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses177 / 219
Est. fees paid−$44
Open positions1
Markets (closed)396 / 397
History coverage86d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day8.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 396 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$29
7 days−$74
14 days−$37
30 days−$94
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Spirit 67¢ 94¢ $12 $17 +$5 (+41%)
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 - Map 1 Winner G2 45¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP - Map 1 Winner NIP 5¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 1 Winner Wildcard 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 36¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 B8 34¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TYLOO (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A MOUZ 54¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner BIG 33¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Team Liquid 58¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner Natus Vincere 39¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FOKUS - Map 1 Winner Nemiga 63¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner TheMongolz 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs MIBR 7¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Team Vitality 44¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 1 Winner 9z 36¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest - Map 2 Winner THUNDER dOWNUNDER 16¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs NIP - Map 2 Winner Lynn Vision 43¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B FURIA 68¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 52¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 paiN 43¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Team Falcons 38¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A Vitality 41¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner TheMongolz 23¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner MOUZ 43¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Monte vs NIP (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffs NIP 18¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $12 +$5 +42%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $16 −$16 -99%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $9 +$5 +52%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $11 −$4 -38%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $9 −$9 -99%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $6 −$6 -99%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $6 +$9 +139%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $8 +$4 +57%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $7 +$5 +68%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 10 $5 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 10 $9 −$9 -99%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $4 +$5 +121%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $9 −$9 -98%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $6 −$6 -98%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $7 +$6 +82%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $5 +$8 +156%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $7 −$7 -98%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $13 +$5 +39%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $7 +$8 +112%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $6 +$5 +84%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $8 −$8 -98%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $9 +$9 +97%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $7 −$7 -99%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner Jun 07 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winner Jun 07 $6 −$6 -98%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $7 −$7 -98%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $8 −$8 -98%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $6 −$6 -98%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $6 +$5 +76%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 06 $6 −$6 -98%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $7 +$3 +43%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 06 $7 +$4 +50%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $6 −$6 -98%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $6 −$6 -99%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 06 $7 +$6 +91%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $6 −$6 -98%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $6 −$6 -99%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $6 +$5 +74%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $12 −$6 -49%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $3 −$3 -98%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $5 +$12 +234%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG - Map 2 Winner Jun 05 $5 +$8 +156%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $10 −$10 -99%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision - Map 1 Winner Jun 05 $6 +$4 +68%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG - Map 2 Winner Jun 04 $6 +$9 +142%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $7 +$6 +86%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG - Map 1 Winner Jun 04 $6 −$6 -98%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $8 +$6 +78%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$30
other 0% −$4
crypto 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 67¢ $12 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 48¢ $6 3h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 70¢ $12 5h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 68¢ $10 5h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL TheMongolz 100¢ $14 8h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 36¢ $4 8h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 63¢ $7 8h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 56¢ $2 10h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 35¢ $4 10h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 54¢ $6 22h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 56¢ $7 22h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 65¢ $9 22h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 58¢ $6 22h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 12¢ $3 23h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Team Falcons 100¢ $15 24h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL Aurora Gaming 100¢ $12 24h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 41¢ $6 27h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL MOUZ 96¢ $12 30h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Aurora Gaming 63¢ $8 46h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 37¢ $5 46h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 56¢ $7 46h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S BUY TheMongolz 52¢ $9 46h
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 SELL B8 99¢ $9 3d
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY B8 44¢ $4 3d
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner BUY BIG 23¢ $3 3d
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner BUY BIG 43¢ $6 3d
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner BUY B8 38¢ $6 3d
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner SELL Legacy 99¢ $13 3d
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Legacy 54¢ $7 3d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner SELL Monte 99¢ $13 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-16.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 42 -26.6% -33.6% 40% 40% -32.0%
≤30d 146 -15.3% -23.3% 42% 42% -18.5%
≤90d 396 -7.2% -16.0% 45% 44% -10.7%
all 396 -7.2% -16.0% 45% 44% -10.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.0% 44% -10.7%
10% -24.1% 44% -19.2%
15% -31.4% 43% -27.0%
20% -38.1% 40% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $16.93 · official $16.93 (match) · 841 history records