Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:05:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DE
0xde2a…b8b5
crypto · 23 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$29 -29%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$29 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$29
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses11 / 12
Open positions0
Markets (closed)23 / 23
History coverage1d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day56.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 23 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$29
7 days−$29
14 days−$29
30 days−$29
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$7 +178%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$3 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +133%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$29
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $12 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $6 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET SELL Up 80¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $7 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Up 52¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-21.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 -13.7% -21.9% 48% 48% -38.0%
≤30d 23 -13.7% -21.9% 48% 48% -38.0%
≤90d 23 -13.7% -21.9% 48% 48% -38.0%
all 23 -13.7% -21.9% 48% 48% -38.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover56.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.9% 48% -38.0%
10% ← realistic here -29.4% 35% -44.0%
15% -36.2% 35% -49.4%
20% -42.5% 26% -54.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 60 history records