trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 13 | -7.5% | -16.3% | 31% | 15% | -13.0% |
| ≤30d | 14 | -6.9% | -15.8% | 36% | 14% | -10.5% |
| ≤90d | 14 | -6.9% | -15.8% | 36% | 14% | -10.5% |
| all | 14 | -6.9% | -15.8% | 36% | 14% | -10.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -15.8% | 14% | -10.5% |
| 10% | -23.8% | 14% | -19.1% |
| 15% ← realistic here | -31.2% | 14% | -26.9% |
| 20% | -37.9% | 14% | -34.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw? | Yes | 22¢ | 22¢ | $22,000 | $21,500 | −$500 (-2%) |
| Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw? | Yes | 14¢ | 14¢ | $14,000 | $14,500 | +$500 (+4%) |
| Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Yes | 22¢ | 22¢ | $11,451 | $11,711 | +$260 (+2%) |
| Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw? | Yes | 7¢ | 8¢ | $7,000 | $7,500 | +$500 (+7%) |
| Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw? | Yes | 31¢ | 32¢ | $1,382 | $1,404 | +$22 (+2%) |
| Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? | Yes | 12¢ | 12¢ | $262 | $273 | +$11 (+4%) |
| Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Yes | 22¢ | 24¢ | $14 | $15 | +$1 (+7%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 22 | $21,000 | +$79,000 | +376% |
| Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 22 | $112 | −$112 | -100% |
| Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $1,995 | +$8,506 | +426% |
| Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $22,000 | −$22,000 | -100% |
| Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $20,000 | −$20,000 | -100% |
| Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $8,000 | −$8,000 | -100% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $24,000 | −$24,000 | -100% |
| Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $25,948 | −$25,948 | -100% |
| Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $7,900 | −$7,900 | -100% |
| Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $21,000 | −$21,000 | -100% |
| Will Brayden McNabb lead the 2026 Stanley Cup Finals in assists? | Jun 19 | $80 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $16,000 | −$16,000 | -100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 18 | $1,299,919 | +$1,301 | +0% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | Jun 04 | $2,698,397 | +$11,787 | +0% |