Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:08:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DE
0xde28…8d20
sports · 301 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$380 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$385 · open +$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$69
Realized−$385
Unrealized+$6
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses124 / 174
Est. fees paid−$111
Open positions3
Markets (closed)298 / 301
History coverage59d
Avg bet$24
Trades / day10.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 3 History 298 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5
7 days+$21
14 days−$2
30 days−$538
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Over 67¢ 66¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-1%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Over 69¢ 100¢ $14 $20 +$6 (+44%)
Audax CS Italiano vs. CD La Serena: O/U 2.5 Over 54¢ 54¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Molde FK vs. Kristiansund BK: O/U 3.5 Over 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5 Over 13¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
VfL Bochum vs. Hannover 96: O/U 3.5 Over 11¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
IK Start vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 2.5 Over 61¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Leeds United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5 Over 34¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5 Over 53¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
PEC Zwolle vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5 Over 34¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
AFC Ajax vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 3.5 Over 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
SK Brann vs. KFUM-Kameratene Oslo: O/U 3.5 Over 43¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Gangwon FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 2.5 Over 15¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
AFC Ajax vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 5.5 Over 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Vissel Kōbe vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: O/U 2.5 Over 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Los Angeles FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 4.5 Over 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Adelaide United FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 4.5 Over 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Spain vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5 Over 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 4.5 Over 10¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 5.5 Over 8¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Atlanta United FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 3.5 Over 36¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Minnesota United FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 2.5 Over 19¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
AS Saint-Étienne vs. Rodez Aveyron Football: O/U 2.5 Over 20¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Racing Club de Lens vs. FC Nantes: O/U 3.5 Over 7¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Kawasaki Frontale vs. FC Machida Zelvia: O/U 3.5 Over 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $10 +$5 +46%
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $4 +$6 +138%
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Armenia vs. Moldova: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $2 +$3 +138%
Russia vs. Trinidad and Tobago: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $3 +$2 +69%
Indonesia vs. Mozambique: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $5 −$3 -68%
Fiji vs. Vanuatu: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $3 +$4 +122%
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $5 +$3 +59%
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $5 +$4 +67%
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5 Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Bolivia vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $5 +$4 +73%
Albania vs. Luxembourg: O/U 3.5 Jun 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Albania vs. Luxembourg: O/U 2.5 Jun 06 $8 −$8 -98%
Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Shimizu S-Pulse: O/U 2.5 Jun 06 $5 +$7 +134%
Russia vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 2.5 Jun 05 $5 +$5 +90%
Hong Kong SAR vs. Mongolia: O/U 2.5 Jun 05 $9 −$9 -99%
Hong Kong SAR vs. Mongolia: O/U 3.5 Jun 05 $3 −$3 -100%
Kamatamare Sanuki vs. AC Nagano Parceiro: O/U 2.5 Jun 05 $1 −$1 -100%
Kamatamare Sanuki vs. AC Nagano Parceiro: O/U 1.5 Jun 05 $3 −$3 -99%
Will Bamin Real Potosí win on 2026-05-14? Jun 05 $2 −$2 -98%
Guatemala vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 05 $3 +$2 +49%
Guatemala vs. Czechia: O/U 4.5 Jun 05 $1 −$1 -100%
France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5 Jun 04 $3 +$2 +52%
Northern Ireland vs. Guinea: O/U 1.5 Jun 04 $1 +$2 +165%
Spain vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5 Jun 04 $2 −$2 -99%
Spain vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5 Jun 04 $3 −$3 -99%
Cambodia vs. Bhutan: O/U 2.5 Jun 04 $3 +$2 +50%
Panama vs. Dominican Republic: O/U 2.5 Jun 04 $2 +$1 +60%
Slovenia vs. Cyprus: O/U 3.5 Jun 03 $2 −$2 -98%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5 May 30 $3 −$3 -100%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5 May 30 $5 −$5 -100%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 5.5 May 30 $2 −$2 -100%
IK Start vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 2.5 May 25 $12 −$12 -99%
Los Angeles FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 3.5 May 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Los Angeles FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 2.5 May 25 $12 −$12 -100%
Los Angeles FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 4.5 May 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Kristiansund BK vs. Viking FK: O/U 2.5 May 24 $10 +$6 +55%
Hellas Verona FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5 May 24 $5 −$5 -98%
Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5 May 24 $6 −$6 -99%
Nottingham Forest FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5 May 24 $10 −$10 -98%
AFC Ajax vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 1.5 May 24 $3 −$3 -100%
AFC Ajax vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 3.5 May 24 $3 −$3 -100%
AFC Ajax vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 2.5 May 24 $29 −$28 -98%
AFC Ajax vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 4.5 May 24 $1 −$1 -100%
AFC Ajax vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 5.5 May 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Charlotte FC vs. New England Revolution: O/U 2.5 May 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5 May 23 $41 +$41 +100%
Minnesota United FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 2.5 May 23 $21 −$21 -100%
Minnesota United FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 3.5 May 23 $4 −$4 -100%
Auckland FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 2.5 May 23 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% −$375
other 1% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Audax CS Italiano vs. CD La Serena: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 54¢ $20 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 67¢ $30 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 69¢ $14 1h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 68¢ $10 25h
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 3¢ $1 2d
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 42¢ $4 2d
Russia vs. Trinidad and Tobago: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 90¢ $4 3d
Russia vs. Trinidad and Tobago: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 53¢ $3 3d
Armenia vs. Moldova: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 42¢ $2 3d
Indonesia vs. Mozambique: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 16¢ $2 3d
Indonesia vs. Mozambique: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 48¢ $5 3d
Fiji vs. Vanuatu: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 45¢ $3 3d
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 63¢ $3 4d
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 63¢ $2 4d
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 27¢ $1 4d
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 60¢ $2 4d
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 60¢ $3 4d
Albania vs. Luxembourg: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 4¢ $0 6d
Albania vs. Luxembourg: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 4¢ $1 6d
Albania vs. Luxembourg: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 4¢ $0 6d
Albania vs. Luxembourg: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 4¢ $0 6d
Bolivia vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 57¢ $5 6d
Albania vs. Luxembourg: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 40¢ $8 6d
Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Shimizu S-Pulse: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 42¢ $5 6d
Russia vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 52¢ $5 7d
Hong Kong SAR vs. Mongolia: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 5¢ $1 7d
Hong Kong SAR vs. Mongolia: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 3¢ $1 7d
Hong Kong SAR vs. Mongolia: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 3¢ $0 7d
Hong Kong SAR vs. Mongolia: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 6¢ $0 7d
Hong Kong SAR vs. Mongolia: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 6¢ $1 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-22.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 +27.0% +14.9% 64% 64% +23.1%
≤30d 144 -26.3% -33.3% 33% 33% -43.6%
≤90d 298 -14.4% -22.5% 42% 42% -14.5%
all 298 -14.4% -22.5% 42% 42% -14.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -22.5% 42% -14.5%
10% -29.9% 41% -22.7%
15% -36.7% 39% -30.2%
20% -42.9% 32% -37.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $69.49 · official $69.49 (match) · 734 history records