Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:54:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DE
0xde25…c0a5
sports · 365 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$5,782 +26%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$63 · open +$5,718
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10,315
Realized+$63
Unrealized+$5,718
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses162 / 201
Est. fees paid−$370
Open positions13
Markets (closed)363 / 365
History coverage19d
Avg bet$61
Trades / day166.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 13 History 363 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$20
7 days+$20
14 days−$328
30 days+$63
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 36¢ 81¢ $4,544 $10,267 +$5,724 (+126%)
Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs GenOne (+1.5) GenOne 67¢ 60¢ $9 $8 −$1 (-10%)
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) Legacy 60¢ 60¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Aurora Gaming 19¢ 18¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-3%)
KBO: KT Wiz vs. Samsung Lions KT Wiz 54¢ 44¢ $6 $5 −$1 (-19%)
Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs STATE (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group A STATE 83¢ 80¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-3%)
Map Handicap: DNT (-1.5) vs OLDBOYS- (+1.5) OLDBOYS- 78¢ 72¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-8%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score No 54¢ 52¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-3%)
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs OLDBOYS- 54¢ 52¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-5%)
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5) G2 65¢ 50¢ $3 $3 −$1 (-24%)
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Aurora Gaming 37¢ 38¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+4%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Aurora Gaming 23¢ 26¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+11%)
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5 Over 41¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+144%)
FC Ryūkyū vs. Gainare Tottori: O/U 2.5 Over 68¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+47%)
SC Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 5.5 Under 75¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+33%)
Spread: FK Krasnodar (-1.5) FK Krasnodar 40¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+150%)
CD Garcilaso vs. CU Técnica de Cajamarca: Both Teams to Score No 80¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+25%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 10.5 Over 54¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5) Los Angeles Angels 68¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bengaluru 3: Hamish Stewart vs Aditya Balsekar Aditya Balsekar 11¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 10.5 Under 54¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Spread: Club Universitario de Deportes (-1.5) Club Universitario de Deportes 5¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5 Jun 12 $0 +$1 +144%
FC Ryūkyū vs. Gainare Tottori: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +47%
SC Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +33%
Spread: FK Krasnodar (-1.5) Jun 12 $0 $0 +150%
CD Garcilaso vs. CU Técnica de Cajamarca: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $0 $0 +25%
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 10.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5) Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bengaluru 3: Hamish Stewart vs Aditya Balsekar Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 10.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Spread: Club Universitario de Deportes (-1.5) Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 G Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $3 +$2 +86%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5) Jun 12 $3 +$2 +55%
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) Jun 12 $7 +$3 +42%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Jun 12 $6 +$3 +45%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $11 +$4 +40%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $21 +$9 +45%
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 04 $65 −$65 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 04 $603 −$603 -100%
IK Start vs. Vålerenga Fotball: Both Teams to Score Jun 03 $7 +$3 +37%
Haiti vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to Score Jun 03 $3 +$2 +97%
Wales vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score Jun 03 $5 −$5 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca Jun 02 $30 +$21 +70%
Morocco vs. Madagascar: Both Teams to Score Jun 02 $32 −$2 -6%
Spread: Wales (-1.5) Jun 02 $4 +$1 +25%
Croatia vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score Jun 02 $8 −$3 -41%
Croatia vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5 Jun 02 $5 +$5 +105%
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev Jun 02 $206 −$106 -51%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $5 −$5 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Sorana Cirstea Jun 02 $2 $0 -9%
Spread: Canada (-1.5) Jun 02 $7 −$7 -100%
Spread: Colombia (-1.5) Jun 02 $5 −$5 -100%
Colombia vs. Costa Rica: Both Teams to Score Jun 02 $22 −$22 -100%
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 02 $64 +$45 +70%
Colombia vs. Costa Rica: O/U 2.5 Jun 02 $7 +$3 +49%
Türkiye vs. North Macedonia: Both Teams to Score Jun 01 $2 −$2 -100%
Norway vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5 Jun 01 $10 +$4 +43%
Spread: Norway (-1.5) Jun 01 $7 −$7 -100%
Norway vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score Jun 01 $57 −$12 -20%
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5) Jun 01 $10 −$10 -100%
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Jun 01 $23 −$23 -100%
Slovakia vs. Malta: O/U 2.5 Jun 01 $2 −$2 -100%
Austria vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to Score Jun 01 $9 +$7 +75%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 01 $3 −$3 -100%
Türkiye vs. North Macedonia: O/U 2.5 Jun 01 $9 +$6 +67%
Spread: Slovakia (-1.5) Jun 01 $4 +$6 +132%
Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5) Jun 01 $74 +$136 +185%
Slovakia vs. Malta: Both Teams to Score Jun 01 $4 +$6 +163%
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) Jun 01 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 01 $118 +$234 +199%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$5,782
other 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) BUY Legacy 60¢ $6 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner SELL PARIVISION 100¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 19¢ $5 1h
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5) SELL MOUZ 99¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 19¢ $1 2h
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5) BUY G2 65¢ $3 2h
Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs STATE (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group A BUY STATE 83¢ $4 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY PARIVISION 52¢ $3 2h
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ BUY OLDBOYS- 54¢ $3 2h
Map Handicap: DNT (-1.5) vs OLDBOYS- (+1.5) BUY OLDBOYS- 78¢ $4 2h
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) SELL MOUZ 100¢ $11 2h
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group SELL ex-RUBY 100¢ $9 3h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 23¢ $2 9h
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) BUY MOUZ 68¢ $4 9h
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) BUY MOUZ 68¢ $4 9h
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5) BUY MOUZ 62¢ $3 9h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 41¢ $2 9h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 100¢ $15 10h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Aurora Gaming 37¢ $2 14h
Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs GenOne (+1.5) BUY GenOne 67¢ $9 16h
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group BUY ex-RUBY 67¢ $6 16h
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 G BUY Abyssal 81¢ $4 16h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score SELL No 100¢ $30 16h
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva BUY Marta Kostyuk 56¢ $62 8d
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva BUY Marta Kostyuk 56¢ $3 8d
Haiti vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to Score SELL No 100¢ $5 9d
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca SELL Jakub Mensik 100¢ $52 9d
Haiti vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to Score BUY No 49¢ $3 9d
Spread: Wales (-1.5) SELL Ghana 100¢ $5 9d
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca BUY Jakub Mensik 57¢ $30 9d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 +6.6% -3.6% 65% 65% +21.0%
≤30d 363 +0.1% -9.4% 45% 44% -9.2%
≤90d 363 +0.1% -9.4% 45% 44% -9.2%
all 363 +0.1% -9.4% 45% 44% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover166.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.4% 44% -9.2%
10% ← realistic here -18.1% 43% -17.9%
15% -26.0% 39% -25.8%
20% -33.3% 33% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10,315.34 · official $10,311.36 (match) · 3500 history records