Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:55:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DE
0xde1d…ef49
crypto · 212 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$2,456 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,577 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized−$2,577
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses76 / 134
Whale WR (big bets)57%
Open positions2
Markets (closed)210 / 212
History coverage150d
Avg bet$114
Trades / day6.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 2 History 210 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$13
7 days−$324
14 days−$324
30 days−$324
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes 26¢ 80¢ $1 $3 +$2 (+204%)
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-17%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$2 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$2 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$3 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $18 −$7 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $22 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$7 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $11 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$6 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $11 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 10 $23 −$4 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 10 $9 −$3 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 10 $13 −$2 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 10 $21 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$2 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 10 $10 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 10 $10 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 10 $9 −$3 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 10 $12 −$2 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 10 $21 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$2 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 10 $8 −$3 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 10 $12 −$7 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 09 $31 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 09 $22 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 09 $12 −$2 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 09 $15 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 09 $9 −$1 -11%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
economics 44% +$234
other 25% −$2,655
world 15% +$292
crypto 8% −$169
tech 8% −$273
politics 1% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET SELL Up 61¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET SELL Up 43¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Down 40¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET SELL Down 44¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET SELL Down 35¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET SELL Down 24¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET SELL Up 62¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Up 72¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Down 54¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET SELL Down 74¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET SELL Down 65¢ $5 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-21.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 183 -11.5% -19.9% 33% 20% -25.4%
≤30d 183 -11.5% -19.9% 33% 20% -25.4%
≤90d 186 -11.8% -20.2% 33% 19% -40.6%
all 210 -13.6% -21.8% 36% 19% -19.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -21.8% 19% -19.2%
10% -29.3% 14% -27.0%
15% -36.1% 7% -34.0%
20% -42.4% 5% -40.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.85 · official $3.85 (match) · 986 history records