Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T11:54:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DE
0xde1c…ebd0
crypto · 229 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$6 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$7 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$7
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses139 / 89
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)228 / 229
History coverage57d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day13.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 1 History 228 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$2
14 days−$2
30 days−$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 34¢ 48¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+41%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $24 −$1 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $16 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $28 −$2 -7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -0%
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan Jun 13 $41 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Apr 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Apr 19 $1 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - April 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Apr 19 $1 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Apr 19 $1 $0 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Apr 19 $1 $0 -28%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Apr 19 $1 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - April 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Apr 19 $1 $0 +12%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Apr 19 $1 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Apr 19 $1 −$1 -66%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Apr 19 $1 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - April 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Apr 19 $1 $0 +7%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Apr 19 $1 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Apr 19 $1 $0 -47%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 80% −$7
sports 11% −$1
other 8% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET SELL Up 36¢ $1 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET SELL Down 51¢ $1 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET SELL Down 51¢ $1 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET SELL Down 59¢ $1 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET SELL Up 29¢ $1 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET SELL Up 29¢ $1 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET SELL Up 29¢ $1 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET SELL Up 29¢ $1 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET SELL Up 33¢ $1 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET SELL Up 41¢ $1 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $1 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET SELL Up 43¢ $1 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET SELL Up 43¢ $1 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $0 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 9m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-12.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 37 -7.3% -16.1% 46% 19% -10.6%
≤30d 37 -7.3% -16.1% 46% 19% -10.6%
≤90d 228 -3.7% -12.9% 61% 36% -11.4%
all 228 -3.7% -12.9% 61% 36% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.9% 36% -11.4%
10% -21.2% 17% -19.9%
15% -28.8% 6% -27.6%
20% -35.8% 0% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.98 · official $3.05 (match) · 775 history records