trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -0.5% | -9.9% | 0% | 0% | -9.8% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 22% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 22% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 24 | -2.0% | -11.3% | 38% | 4% | -10.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.3% | 4% | -10.9% |
| 10% | -19.8% | 4% | -19.4% |
| 15% | -27.6% | 4% | -27.2% |
| 20% | -34.7% | 0% | -34.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | No | 94¢ | 94¢ | $31 | $31 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 94¢ | 94¢ | $0 | $0 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 18 | $33 | $0 | -0% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 15 | $31 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 15 | $19 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 14 | $40 | $0 | -0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 14 | $15 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | Jun 12 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 10 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? | Jun 10 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 10 | $14 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 13 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 9-12%? | Jun 24 | $5 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win 40-45% of the vote in the South Korea election? | Jun 04 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Han Duck-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? | Jun 04 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in his first 100 days? | May 05 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in Prince Edward Island | Apr 26 | $1 | +$1 | +47% |
| Will the Conservative Party win by 50 or more seats? | Apr 26 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | Apr 26 | $12 | −$1 | -6% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025? | Apr 24 | $14 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the San Diego Padres win the 2025 World Series? | Apr 05 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2025 World Series? | Apr 04 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Apr 03 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Călin Georgescu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Run | Apr 03 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| TikTok sale announced before April? | Apr 03 | $14 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025? | Mar 28 | $15 | $0 | -0% |