Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:05:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DD
0xddef…2dad
crypto · 577 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$338 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$338 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$338
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses372 / 205
Whale WR (big bets)83%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)577 / 577
History coverage28d
Avg bet$139
Trades / day48.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 577 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$398
7 days−$228
14 days−$939
30 days+$338
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $233 $0 −$233 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $111 $0 −$111 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $260 −$11 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $250 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $508 −$15 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $254 +$18 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $250 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $251 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $365 −$246 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $252 +$22 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $128 +$27 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $252 −$2 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $127 +$5 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $253 +$18 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $255 +$31 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $204 +$10 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $509 +$9 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $254 −$2 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $256 +$123 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $104 −$75 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $762 +$37 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $621 −$111 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $254 +$23 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $255 +$23 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $611 +$108 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $548 +$177 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $1,118 +$47 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $254 +$41 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $253 +$53 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $607 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $259 +$19 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $262 −$35 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $256 +$90 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 07 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 07 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 07 $26 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 07 $51 −$50 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 07 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 07 $50 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 07 $50 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 07 $204 −$200 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 07 $202 +$35 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 07 $210 −$200 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 07 $26 +$24 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 07 $204 +$72 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 07 $201 +$10 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 07 $206 +$16 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 07 $201 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 07 $537 +$22 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 07 $103 −$100 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 07 $202 +$35 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 07 $204 −$200 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$338
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET SELL Up 70¢ $101 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET SELL Up 37¢ $148 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $260 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $250 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET SELL Up 84¢ $251 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $253 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET SELL Up 68¢ $242 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $255 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET SELL Down 86¢ $272 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $254 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $250 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $257 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $251 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $262 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET SELL Up 56¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $252 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Down 92¢ $122 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $102 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Up 68¢ $32 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Up 89¢ $250 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $252 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 72¢ $105 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $102 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET SELL Down 92¢ $271 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $253 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $51 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-18.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 73 -6.3% -15.2% 75% 32% -10.5%
≤30d 577 -10.1% -18.6% 64% 37% -9.0%
≤90d 577 -10.1% -18.6% 64% 37% -9.0%
all 577 -10.1% -18.6% 64% 37% -9.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover48.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.6% 37% -9.0%
10% ← realistic here -26.4% 24% -17.7%
15% -33.5% 16% -25.7%
20% -40.0% 9% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1518 history records