trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | +4.6% | -5.4% | 83% | 33% | -7.0% |
| ≤30d | 7 | +9.1% | -1.3% | 86% | 43% | -6.8% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -7.4% | -16.2% | 67% | 33% | -24.1% |
| all | 11 | -24.2% | -31.5% | 55% | 27% | -24.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -31.5% | 27% | -24.4% |
| 10% | -38.0% | 18% | -31.6% |
| 15% | -44.0% | 9% | -38.2% |
| 20% | -49.5% | 0% | -44.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 81¢ | 80¢ | $152 | $151 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 84¢ | 84¢ | $83 | $84 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 73¢ | 74¢ | $71 | $71 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? | Jun 18 | $350 | +$11 | +3% |
| Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? | Jun 18 | $1 | $0 | +6% |
| Iran coup attempt by June 30? | Jun 18 | $1 | $0 | +13% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 18 | $1 | $0 | +27% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Jun 18 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 18 | $6 | −$1 | -21% |
| Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group St | May 21 | $3 | +$1 | +36% |
| LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | May 12 | $487 | −$147 | -30% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 12 | $2 | −$1 | -99% |
| Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs? | Feb 28 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| US strikes Iraq by February 28? | Feb 28 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |