trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 30 | -35.5% | -41.6% | 30% | 27% | -12.4% |
| ≤30d | 33 | -27.1% | -34.1% | 33% | 27% | -8.4% |
| ≤90d | 33 | -27.1% | -34.1% | 33% | 27% | -8.4% |
| all | 33 | -27.1% | -34.1% | 33% | 27% | -8.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -34.1% | 27% | -8.4% |
| 10% | -40.4% | 27% | -17.2% |
| 15% | -46.1% | 27% | -25.2% |
| 20% | -51.4% | 24% | -32.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 10¢ | $99 | $102 | +$2 (+3%) |
| Exact Score: Senegal 3 - 0 Iraq? | Yes | 12¢ | 12¢ | $31 | $30 | −$1 (-4%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 26 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Jun 25 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Jun 25 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) | Jun 25 | $51 | −$51 | -100% |
| United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5 | Jun 25 | $102 | −$102 | -100% |
| Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 0 Canada? | Jun 25 | $26 | −$26 | -100% |
| Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 25 | $31 | −$31 | -100% |
| Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 Korea Republic? | Jun 25 | $51 | −$51 | -100% |
| Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Jun 25 | $51 | −$51 | -100% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 25 | $21 | −$21 | -100% |
| Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Croatia? | Jun 25 | $53 | −$53 | -100% |
| Spread: Croatia (-1.5) | Jun 25 | $192 | −$192 | -100% |
| Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 1 DR Congo? | Jun 25 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? | Jun 25 | $108 | −$108 | -100% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 25 | $304 | −$304 | -100% |
| Spread: Colombia (-1.5) | Jun 25 | $244 | −$244 | -100% |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 25 | $51 | −$51 | -100% |
| Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Sweden? | Jun 25 | $86 | −$86 | -100% |
| Spread: Mexico (-1.5) | Jun 25 | $50 | +$102 | +202% |
| Spread: Brazil (-1.5) | Jun 25 | $292 | +$302 | +103% |
| Spread: Morocco (-1.5) | Jun 24 | $269 | +$23 | +9% |
| Exact Score: Scotland 0 - 2 Brazil? | Jun 24 | $46 | +$20 | +43% |
| Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 24 | $102 | −$88 | -86% |
| Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5 | Jun 23 | $102 | +$98 | +97% |
| Spread: France (-2.5) | Jun 23 | $101 | +$77 | +76% |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | Jun 22 | $290 | +$486 | +168% |
| Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Austria? | Jun 22 | $41 | −$38 | -91% |
| Spread: Spain (-3.5) | Jun 21 | $204 | +$366 | +179% |
| Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5 | Jun 20 | $51 | −$17 | -33% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $124 | +$87 | +70% |
| Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Jun 18 | $10 | +$1 | +8% |
| Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 1 South Africa? | Jun 18 | $92 | +$240 | +260% |
| Exact Score: Austria 2 - 1 Jordan? | Jun 17 | $98 | −$98 | -100% |