Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:00:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DD
0xddc3…8997
crypto · 993 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$602 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$604 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$16
Realized−$604
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses420 / 574
Open positions1
Markets (closed)994 / 993
History coverage40d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day72.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 994 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$63
7 days−$92
14 days−$126
30 days−$435
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 52¢ 100¢ $7 $14 +$7 (+92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Up 0¢ 50¢ $0 $2 +$2 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 11 $7 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $11 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $8 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 11 $36 −$7 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $22 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 11 $7 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 11 $25 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 11 $24 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $11 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 11 $40 −$4 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 11 $13 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 11 $20 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 11 $8 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 11 $9 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 11 $9 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 11 $18 −$2 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 11 $14 −$1 -4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$548
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $3 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-18.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 177 -3.7% -12.9% 33% 10% -14.3%
≤30d 785 -12.0% -20.4% 34% 26% -14.9%
≤90d 994 -10.0% -18.6% 42% 35% -14.3%
all 994 -10.0% -18.6% 42% 35% -14.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover72.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.6% 35% -14.3%
10% ← realistic here -26.4% 28% -22.5%
15% -33.5% 21% -30.0%
20% -40.0% 14% -36.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $16.45 · official $16.45 (match) · 3500 history records