Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:43:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DD
0xddb6…b9b3
sports · 190 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$56,523 -81%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$55,543 · open −$744
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4,877
Realized−$55,543
Unrealized−$744
Win rate (resolved)16%
Wins / losses92 / 481
Whale WR (big bets)16%
Est. fees paid−$986
Open positions27
Markets (closed)573 / 190
History coverage2d
Avg bet$367
Trades / day1631.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 27 History 573 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$55,380
7 days−$55,543
14 days−$55,543
30 days−$55,543
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
ITF Varnamo: Patrik Munkhammar vs Max Dahlin Max Dahlin 57¢ 50¢ $1,581 $1,395 −$186 (-12%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BetBoom Team 54¢ 100¢ $334 $623 +$289 (+86%)
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Team Heretics 26¢ 14¢ $748 $384 −$364 (-49%)
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Misa Esports 75¢ 100¢ $288 $381 +$94 (+33%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Vitality 87¢ 86¢ $303 $303 −$0 (-0%)
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Team Vitality 87¢ 86¢ $266 $263 −$2 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne - Map 2 Winner SPARTA 43¢ 100¢ $100 $230 +$130 (+131%)
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs ex-MANA eSports - Map 2 Winner Clutchain 75¢ 100¢ $132 $176 +$44 (+34%)
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C WLGaming Esports 19¢ 21¢ $138 $158 +$20 (+15%)
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage Ursa 59¢ 63¢ $132 $140 +$9 (+7%)
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner Team Vitality 50¢ 72¢ $71 $103 +$32 (+45%)
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Hanwha Eagles Lotte Giants 50¢ 71¢ $69 $99 +$30 (+43%)
Counter-Strike: struggletony vs MASONIC (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group B MASONIC 54¢ 100¢ $48 $89 +$41 (+85%)
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Dane Sweeny 42¢ 100¢ $36 $85 +$50 (+140%)
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team - Map 1 Winner Ursa 56¢ 65¢ $62 $72 +$10 (+17%)
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Eintracht Spandau 66¢ 86¢ $44 $56 +$13 (+29%)
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team - Map 1 Winner Leo Team 47¢ 35¢ $63 $47 −$17 (-26%)
Modena: Nuria Brancaccio vs Lucia Bronzetti Lucia Bronzetti 59¢ 74¢ $30 $37 +$8 (+26%)
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner Team Heretics 52¢ 28¢ $65 $34 −$31 (-47%)
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Anubis Gaming 26¢ 14¢ $61 $34 −$27 (-44%)
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Taylor Fritz 79¢ 66¢ $39 $33 −$7 (-17%)
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 47¢ 42¢ $26 $24 −$3 (-11%)
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. SSG Landers SSG Landers 41¢ 50¢ $19 $23 +$4 (+22%)
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage Leo Team 41¢ 37¢ $24 $22 −$3 (-11%)
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs Clement Tabur Clement Tabur 62¢ 32¢ $34 $18 −$16 (-48%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
ITF Varnamo: Patrik Munkhammar vs Max Dahlin Jun 12 $1,581 −$194 -12%
Will Kasımpaşa SK vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle Storm Jun 12 $930 −$914 -98%
Will DR Congo vs. Chile end in a draw? Jun 12 $47 −$47 -100%
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $36 −$36 -100%
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $5 +$56 +1107%
Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-05-10? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5 Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
HSBC Championships: Shuai Zhang vs Alexandra Eala Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-09? Jun 12 $49 −$64 -131%
Will SE Palmeiras vs. Santos FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $46 −$46 -100%
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Atreides (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Euro Jun 12 $216 −$216 -100%
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Jil Teichmann vs Petra Marcinko Jun 12 $25 +$3 +12%
LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $76 −$76 -100%
Counter-Strike: ex-KRÜ Esports vs ALKA (BO3) - CCT South America Serie Jun 12 $97 −$97 -100%
Will Modern SC vs. Tala'ea El Gaish SC end in a draw? Jun 12 $133 −$133 -100%
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Nemiga (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Seri Jun 12 $303 −$303 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Top Esports Challenger - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $117 −$117 -100%
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Cholet Jun 12 $80 −$42 -52%
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO3) - BC Game Maste Jun 12 $208 −$21 -10%
Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-05-11? Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 12 $1,193 −$1,023 -86%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Kimberly Birrell vs Yue Yu Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Iowa Stormboar (BO3) - ESL Challenger League No Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Valorant: UCAM Esports Club vs MIR (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group C Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Kristiansund BK vs. Viking FK end in a draw? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs KOLESIE - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $111 −$111 -100%
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs HEROIC Academy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Nicaragua win on 2026-05-29? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-05-03? Jun 12 $52 −$52 -100%
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Will Sporting Kansas City vs. Seattle Sounders FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $335 −$335 -100%
Valorant: Team Liquid Academy vs Ghools Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Grou Jun 12 $68 −$68 -100%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs RUSTEC - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20? Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-05-16? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Minnesota Twins vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $128 −$128 -100%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Jessica Pieri Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs GenOne (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Jun 12 $495 −$438 -88%
Will US Catanzaro 1929 vs. AC Monza end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landaluce Jun 12 $199 −$157 -79%
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-05-16? Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5 Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Will Grêmio FBPA vs. CD Palestino end in a draw? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B Jun 12 $1,460 −$1,285 -88%
Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-05-24? Jun 12 $53 −$53 -100%
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-05-30? Jun 12 $150 −$179 -120%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% −$8,540
other 1% +$84
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY Ursa 63¢ $18 0m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Team Heretics 5¢ $6 3m
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Leo Team 33¢ $6 5m
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Ursa 70¢ $11 5m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Team Vitality 90¢ $9 7m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Team Vitality 90¢ $5 7m
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY WLGaming Esports 8¢ $2 9m
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY Ursa 59¢ $8 9m
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY Leo Team 45¢ $7 10m
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Leo Team 58¢ $29 10m
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY WLGaming Esports 17¢ $30 10m
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY WLGaming Esports 21¢ $23 10m
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY WLGaming Esports 20¢ $6 10m
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY WLGaming Esports 21¢ $11 10m
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Ursa 49¢ $13 12m
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY WLGaming Esports 20¢ $46 12m
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Leo Team 44¢ $11 12m
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY WLGaming Esports 24¢ $10 14m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Team Heretics 9¢ $28 15m
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Ursa 54¢ $27 15m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 87¢ $44 17m
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY Ursa 59¢ $17 17m
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY WLGaming Esports 22¢ $5 17m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 87¢ $44 18m
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY WLGaming Esports 22¢ $4 18m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 87¢ $44 18m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 87¢ $44 19m
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Ursa 57¢ $2 20m
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Ursa 58¢ $6 20m
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY Ursa 59¢ $20 20m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +13%
net ROI/market (all)-40.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 573 -34.0% -40.3% 16% 13% -52.7%
≤30d 573 -34.0% -40.3% 16% 13% -52.7%
≤90d 573 -34.0% -40.3% 16% 13% -52.7%
all 573 -34.0% -40.3% 16% 13% -52.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1631.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -40.3% 13% -52.7%
10% ← realistic here -46.0% 11% -57.3%
15% -51.2% 10% -61.4%
20% -56.0% 7% -65.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4,877.14 · official $4,876.19 (match) · 3500 history records