Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:57:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DD
0xddb6…87e7
sports · 299 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$236 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$390 · open +$24
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$58
Realized−$390
Unrealized+$24
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses174 / 123
Est. fees paid−$145
Open positions2
Markets (closed)297 / 299
History coverage46d
Avg bet$50
Trades / day21.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 297 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$36
7 days+$311
14 days−$162
30 days−$571
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner T1 51¢ 100¢ $30 $58 +$28 (+95%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner T1 36¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $22 −$14 -61%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $30 +$9 +30%
Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $2 +$2 +101%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $40 +$14 +34%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $40 +$1 +2%
Brazil to score first vs. Morocco? Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $4 −$1 -15%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $10 −$4 -36%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $159 +$26 +17%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $40 +$11 +28%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $421 +$21 +5%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $4 +$11 +272%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali Jun 12 $6 +$3 +52%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $20 +$7 +38%
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 1 W Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs T1 Academy (BO3) - Asia Masters Group B Jun 09 $302 +$15 +5%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $90 +$15 +17%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner Jun 09 $90 +$10 +11%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Top Esports Challenger - Game 1 Winner Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: FN Esports vs Verdant (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage Jun 08 $3 $0 -5%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $138 +$141 +102%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $6 $0 -1%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $30 +$10 +32%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $3 −$3 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $6 −$6 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $39 −$12 -32%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $73 +$74 +102%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $31 +$31 +101%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 07 $8 −$6 -72%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 06 $15 −$1 -4%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $151 +$49 +32%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $30 +$13 +42%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $6 +$6 +100%
LoL: Conviction vs CCG Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $3 +$1 +40%
LoL: Conviction vs CCG Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $3 +$1 +26%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 05 $151 +$45 +30%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $45 +$23 +51%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports (BO5) - North American Challen Jun 05 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports - Game 4 Winner Jun 05 $12 +$20 +175%
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports - Game 3 Winner Jun 05 $3 −$3 -100%
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $3 +$3 +83%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 03 $2 $0 +11%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 03 $186 +$37 +20%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 03 $67 +$10 +15%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 02 $878 −$693 -79%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 02 $76 −$76 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% −$326
weather 1% −$18
politics 1% −$18
other 0% +$9
crypto 0% −$10
world 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 36¢ $2 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 36¢ $2 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 54¢ $10 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 50¢ $20 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 50¢ $16 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 67¢ $10 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 54¢ $10 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 32¢ $2 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner SELL Gen.G 61¢ $9 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 70¢ $16 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 69¢ $4 3h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 77¢ $10 9h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 76¢ $20 9h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 0.5 BUY Under 49¢ $2 9h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 74¢ $40 11h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 2.5 SELL Over 21¢ $3 11h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5 SELL Over 37¢ $6 11h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 2.5 BUY Over 23¢ $4 11h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 98¢ $40 12h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5 BUY Over 56¢ $10 12h
Brazil to score first vs. Morocco? BUY Yes 63¢ $2 12h
Brazil to score first vs. Morocco? BUY Yes 63¢ $2 12h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 20¢ $2 24h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 14¢ $3 24h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 14¢ $3 24h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 31¢ $3 25h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 31¢ $2 25h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 91¢ $100 26h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 78¢ $8 26h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 78¢ $8 26h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-7.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 32 -2.2% -11.6% 53% 44% +7.4%
≤30d 190 +7.0% -3.2% 61% 56% -13.7%
≤90d 297 +2.1% -7.6% 59% 54% -11.9%
all 297 +2.1% -7.6% 59% 54% -11.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover21.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.6% 54% -11.9%
10% ← realistic here -16.5% 44% -20.3%
15% -24.5% 32% -28.0%
20% -31.9% 23% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $58.49 · official $58.49 (match) · 1215 history records