Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:16:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DD
0xddb4…339d
other · 5 markets active 2d ago
0.0score
+$4,102 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$4,102 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$4,102
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses4 / 1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)5 / 5
History coverage30d
Avg bet$23,745
Trades / day8.9
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit0%
Chart Positions 0 History 5 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3,068
7 days+$3,068
14 days+$3,671
30 days+$4,106
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Jun 11 $79,171 +$3,068 +4%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? Jun 01 $8,437 +$109 +1%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? Jun 01 $16,053 +$494 +3%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? May 15 $14,884 +$434 +3%
Starmer out by May 15, 2026? May 12 $182 −$3 -2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% +$4,102
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? SELL No 89¢ $68,036 36h
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? BUY No 86¢ $301 40h
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? BUY No 84¢ $30,736 8d
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? SELL No 85¢ $5 10d
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? SELL No 85¢ $10 10d
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? SELL No 85¢ $9 10d
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? SELL No 85¢ $85 10d
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? SELL No 85¢ $1 10d
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? SELL No 85¢ $5 10d
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? SELL No 85¢ $307 10d
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? SELL No 85¢ $4 10d
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? SELL No 85¢ $8 10d
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? SELL No 85¢ $8 10d
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? SELL No 85¢ $1 10d
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? SELL No 85¢ $108 10d
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? SELL No 85¢ $8 10d
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? SELL No 85¢ $45 10d
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? SELL No 85¢ $12 10d
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? SELL No 85¢ $15 10d
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? SELL No 85¢ $10 10d
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? SELL No 85¢ $11 10d
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? SELL No 85¢ $8 10d
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? SELL No 85¢ $10 10d
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? SELL No 85¢ $1,700 10d
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? SELL No 85¢ $291 10d
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? SELL No 85¢ $8 10d
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? SELL No 85¢ $1 10d
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? SELL No 85¢ $3 10d
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? SELL No 85¢ $25 10d
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? SELL No 85¢ $12 10d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-7.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 +3.9% -6.0% 100% 0% -6.0%
≤30d 4 +2.8% -7.0% 100% 0% -6.4%
≤90d 5 +1.9% -7.8% 80% 0% -6.4%
all 5 +1.9% -7.8% 80% 0% -6.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.9 tr/day
realistic slip~14%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.8% 0% -6.4%
10% ← realistic here -16.7% 0% -15.4%
15% -24.7% 0% -23.5%
20% -32.1% 0% -31.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 310 history records