Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:08:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DD
0xddb0…f95a
crypto · 531 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
+$14,120 +9%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$13,677 · open +$518
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8,721
Realized+$13,677
Unrealized+$518
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses324 / 199
Whale WR (big bets)84%
Open positions10
Markets (closed)523 / 531
History coverage2d
Avg bet$298
Trades / day1708.7
Drawdown10%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 10 History 523 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$13,677
7 days+$13,677
14 days+$13,677
30 days+$13,677
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET Up 70¢ 100¢ $982 $1,388 +$406 (+41%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Up 94¢ 100¢ $1,263 $1,350 +$87 (+7%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Down 70¢ 100¢ $635 $901 +$266 (+42%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 86¢ 100¢ $637 $742 +$105 (+17%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET Up 75¢ 100¢ $523 $699 +$176 (+34%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 79¢ 100¢ $477 $600 +$123 (+26%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 91¢ 100¢ $408 $450 +$42 (+10%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 89¢ 100¢ $398 $450 +$52 (+13%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Up 90¢ 98¢ $404 $443 +$39 (+10%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Up 70¢ 80¢ $316 $359 +$43 (+14%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 81¢ 100¢ $277 $341 +$64 (+23%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 87¢ 100¢ $289 $332 +$43 (+15%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Down 73¢ 100¢ $210 $285 +$76 (+36%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Up 98¢ 100¢ $178 $182 +$4 (+2%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Down 79¢ 44¢ $201 $111 −$90 (-45%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10PM ET Down 89¢ 100¢ $53 $59 +$7 (+12%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Down 67¢ 50¢ $17 $12 −$4 (-25%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 0¢ 2¢ $0 $7 +$7 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Up 64¢ 50¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-23%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Up 90¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+11%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $15 $1 −$14 (-90%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Up 88¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+13%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Down 26¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+285%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Up 86¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+16%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Up 86¢ 98¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+15%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $1,208 −$9 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $401 −$9 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $1,264 +$87 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $178 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$9 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $411 +$42 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $59 −$59 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $82 −$78 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $950 −$190 -20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $292 +$43 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $482 +$123 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $402 +$52 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $95 +$12 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $219 +$15 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $343 +$107 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $392 +$58 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $363 +$87 +24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $366 +$84 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $369 +$81 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $402 +$48 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $408 +$42 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $436 +$14 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $312 +$133 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $807 +$93 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $840 +$60 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $956 +$210 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $642 +$105 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Jun 12 $606 −$130 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Jun 12 $905 −$96 -11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $401 +$37 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $308 −$308 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET Jun 12 $614 +$147 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $374 +$71 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $409 +$36 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET Jun 12 $164 −$164 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$7 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Jun 12 $399 +$55 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Jun 12 $346 +$97 +28%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$14,203
other 0% −$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $322 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET SELL Down 31¢ $132 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $9 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $43 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $14 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $34 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $134 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $272 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $18 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $273 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $7 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $63 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $308 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $10 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $140 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $444 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $445 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $445 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $4 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $2 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $2 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $2 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $248 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $191 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $446 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $93 15m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-7.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 523 +1.8% -7.9% 62% 38% -1.8%
≤30d 523 +1.8% -7.9% 62% 38% -1.8%
≤90d 523 +1.8% -7.9% 62% 38% -1.8%
all 523 +1.8% -7.9% 62% 38% -1.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1708.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.9% 38% -1.8%
10% ← realistic here -16.7% 20% -11.2%
15% -24.8% 10% -19.8%
20% -32.2% 5% -27.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8,720.96 · official $8,602.32 · 3500 history records