trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -2.6% | -11.9% | 50% | 25% | -10.5% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -2.6% | -11.9% | 50% | 25% | -10.5% |
| ≤90d | 4 | -2.6% | -11.9% | 50% | 25% | -10.5% |
| all | 4 | -2.6% | -11.9% | 50% | 25% | -10.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.9% | 25% | -10.5% |
| 10% | -20.3% | 25% | -19.1% |
| 15% | -28.0% | 25% | -26.9% |
| 20% | -35.1% | 25% | -34.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13? | Yes | 73¢ | 71¢ | $40 | $39 | −$1 (-3%) |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 33¢ | 36¢ | $30 | $33 | +$3 (+11%) |
| New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers | New York Yankees | 36¢ | 14¢ | $51 | $21 | −$31 (-60%) |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 52¢ | 55¢ | $14 | $15 | +$1 (+5%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027? | Jun 22 | $84 | +$9 | +10% |
| Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the | Jun 21 | $23 | +$18 | +76% |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Jun 21 | $29 | −$25 | -86% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm ele | Jun 21 | $26 | −$3 | -11% |