Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:51:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DD
0xdda5…9968
crypto · 768 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$931 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$935 · open +$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$15
Realized−$935
Unrealized+$4
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses336 / 431
Open positions1
Markets (closed)767 / 768
History coverage70d
Avg bet$31
Trades / day42.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 767 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$295
7 days−$159
14 days−$845
30 days−$845
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Down 30¢ 42¢ $10 $14 +$4 (+38%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 81¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+23%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 49¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Down $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Down 38¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Up 13¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 29¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 55¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Down 21¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Down 43¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Down 41¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Down 42¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Up 64¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Down 26¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Up 50¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Down 71¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 40¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Down 50¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 46¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Up 52¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Up 26¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 22¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Up 48¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Up 56¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Up 46¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$9 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$8 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $66 +$43 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$2 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $32 −$20 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$10 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$5 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$6 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$5 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$74 +499%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$5 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$9 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $32 −$17 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $32 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $42 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$88 +412%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $32 +$5 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$7 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$13 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$10 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$30 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$19 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$4 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $42 −$25 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $34 −$16 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$4 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $42 −$40 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$13 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$19 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $57 −$28 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $34 −$10 -30%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$931
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $11 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $11 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $10 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $11 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $11 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $11 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $11 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $11 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-15.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 502 -2.9% -12.2% 45% 42% -10.7%
≤30d 744 -7.0% -15.8% 44% 40% -13.2%
≤90d 767 -6.8% -15.7% 44% 39% -13.1%
all 767 -6.8% -15.7% 44% 39% -13.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover42.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.7% 39% -13.1%
10% ← realistic here -23.8% 35% -21.4%
15% -31.1% 30% -29.0%
20% -37.9% 24% -36.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $14.80 · official $10.71 · 3500 history records