trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 3 | +52.0% | +37.5% | 67% | 67% | +10.1% |
| ≤90d | 11 | +35.5% | +22.6% | 82% | 64% | -15.5% |
| all | 11 | +35.5% | +22.6% | 82% | 64% | -15.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +22.6% | 64% | -15.5% |
| 10% ← realistic here | +10.9% | 45% | -23.6% |
| 15% | +0.2% | 45% | -31.0% |
| 20% | -9.7% | 36% | -37.8% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | Jun 04 | $60,198 | +$13,249 | +22% |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | Jun 01 | $999 | $0 | +0% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | Jun 01 | $9 | +$11 | +134% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5 | May 29 | $13 | +$12 | +93% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 29 | $15 | +$10 | +67% |
| Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026? | May 27 | $280 | +$110 | +39% |
| Spread: Spurs (-1.5) | May 25 | $1,690 | +$3 | +0% |
| Spread: Spurs (-5.5) | May 25 | $3,503 | +$4 | +0% |
| Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County? | May 25 | $5,377 | +$754 | +14% |
| Trump kiss by May 31? | May 20 | $2,009 | +$2,415 | +120% |
| LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifie | May 04 | $23,245 | −$23,004 | -99% |