Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T07:02:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
DD 0xdd99…ee61 crypto 50 markets active 0h ago coverage 2d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (113 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$7,996 (-18%) realized −$7,996 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -9% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -33% what you keep after slip
Net edge-33%after slip
Net WR40%break-even
Win rate46%23W / 27L
Whale WR54%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$888per market
Trades / day113.0pace
Fees−$15est.
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 95% −$7,230
other 3% −$228
sports 2% −$825
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (113 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-18.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 50 -9.3% -18.0% 46% 40% -26.9%
≤30d 50 -9.3% -18.0% 46% 40% -26.9%
≤90d 50 -9.3% -18.0% 46% 40% -26.9%
all 50 -9.3% -18.0% 46% 40% -26.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover113.0 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.0% 40% -26.9%
10% -25.8% 36% -33.9%
15% ← realistic here -33.0% 30% -40.3%
20% -39.6% 26% -46.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 11% · top 2 22% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -20% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
13% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -9% · $-wt -20% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 54% (≥$1,088) neutral
Persistence
early -8% → late -11% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
4.4 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$517 vs −$747 · ×0.69 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.59 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$7,996
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses23 / 27
Whale WR (big bets)54%
Est. fees paid−$15
Open positions0
Markets (closed)50 / 50
History coverage2d
Avg bet$888
Trades / day113.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 50 Trades
no open positions (13 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 17 $2,714 +$764 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 17 $2,587 −$2,478 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 17 $569 −$536 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 17 $233 −$209 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 17 $2,703 +$395 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 17 $1,598 +$1,208 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 17 $643 +$134 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 17 $881 +$8 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 17 $1,822 +$1,322 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 16 $1,088 +$260 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 16 $1,086 +$677 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 16 $223 −$213 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 16 $416 −$400 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 16 $1,732 −$1,660 -96%
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $1,337 −$228 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 15 $1,046 −$987 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 15 $799 −$352 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 15 $223 +$209 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 15 $543 +$20 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 15 $105 +$40 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 15 $1,318 +$588 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 15 $414 +$402 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 15 $317 −$202 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 15 $326 +$399 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 15 $447 +$103 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 15 $867 −$838 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 15 $1,323 −$230 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 15 $996 −$950 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 15 $155 −$155 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 15 $486 −$486 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 15 $317 −$317 -100%
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? Jun 15 $825 −$825 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 15 $199 −$199 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 15 $1,651 −$1,651 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 15 $2,092 −$2,092 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 15 $560 −$560 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 15 $1,232 −$1,232 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 15 $2,915 −$2,915 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 15 $922 +$468 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 15 $195 +$439 +225%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 15 $413 +$316 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 15 $818 +$56 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 15 $443 +$1,080 +243%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 15 $1,147 +$582 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 15 $378 +$1,145 +303%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 15 $704 −$163 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 15 $291 −$291 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 15 $272 +$1,274 +468%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Down 79¢ $741 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Down 83¢ $880 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Down 66¢ $418 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Down 75¢ $808 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Down 70¢ $631 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $225 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $225 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $225 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $72 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $227 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $150 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $227 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $227 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $227 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $228 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $228 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $228 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $228 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $58 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $134 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $77 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $32 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $224 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $233 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $230 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $229 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $230 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $227 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $228 30m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 281 history records