Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:57:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DD
0xdd98…1211
weather · 776 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$679 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,040 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$2,040
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)22%
Wins / losses186 / 674
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions11
Markets (closed)860 / 776
History coverage27d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day106.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 11 History 860 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,768
7 days−$1,823
14 days−$1,949
30 days−$2,040
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on June 13? No 95¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+5%)
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 14? No 95¢ 99¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 13? Yes 96¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+4%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 14? Yes 96¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+4%)
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 14? Yes 4¢ 1¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-76%)
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on June 14? No 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-80%)
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 14? No 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-95%)
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on June 14? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 14? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on June 14? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on June 14? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 14? No 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-97%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 13? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-95%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 14? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-95%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 12? No 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on June 9? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C or higher on June 11? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$8 -202%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$14 -201%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$6 -202%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$6 -202%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$6 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$9 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$7 -202%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 30% +$37
crypto 19% −$70
world 14% −$21
finance 12% +$8
politics 11% −$190
other 8% +$5
sports 4% $0
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on June 14? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 23m
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 14? BUY No 6¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 14? BUY Yes 96¢ $2 1h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 14? BUY Yes 96¢ $43 1h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 14? BUY No 9¢ $4 1h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 14? BUY No 8¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 14? BUY No 8¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 14? BUY No 8¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 14? BUY Yes 95¢ $48 1h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 14? BUY No 4¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on June 14? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 14? BUY No 95¢ $48 2h
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 14? BUY Yes 14¢ $7 2h
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on June 14? BUY No 1¢ $0 2h
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 14? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 4h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 14? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 7h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? SELL Yes 7¢ $1 7h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? BUY Yes 10¢ $2 8h
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on June 14? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 8h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 14? BUY No 1¢ $0 9h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 14? BUY No 1¢ $0 9h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 14? BUY No 1¢ $0 9h
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 14? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 10h
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 14? BUY No 95¢ $2 10h
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? SELL Yes 1¢ $2 15h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on Ju BUY Yes 5¢ $1 17h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on Ju BUY No 97¢ $6 17h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 13? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 17h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 13? BUY No 1¢ $0 17h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 69°F or below on June BUY Yes 0¢ $0 18h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +16%
net ROI/market (all)-50.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 464 -83.8% -85.4% 2% 1% -63.7%
≤30d 860 -45.6% -50.8% 22% 16% -33.2%
≤90d 860 -45.6% -50.8% 22% 16% -33.2%
all 860 -45.6% -50.8% 22% 16% -33.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover106.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -50.8% 16% -33.2%
10% ← realistic here -55.5% 16% -39.6%
15% -59.8% 16% -45.4%
20% -63.8% 15% -50.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.51 · official $0.40 · 3500 history records