Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:03:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DD
0xdd93…9abd
other · 37 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$27 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$27 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$30
Realized−$27
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)17%
Wins / losses6 / 30
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)36 / 37
History coverage611d
Avg bet$197
Trades / day0.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit51%
Chart Positions 1 History 36 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days+$0
30 days−$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in June? No 100¢ 100¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will XRP reach $3.00 in May? Jun 14 $12 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May? Jun 14 $19 $0 +0%
Will Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in May 27 $10 $0 -0%
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 26 $11 $0 -0%
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June May 25 $10 $0 -0%
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series? May 23 $20 $0 -0%
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 22 $10 $0 -0%
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-05-20? May 21 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 20 $10 $0 -0%
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel? May 19 $10 $0 -0%
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 18 $101 $0 -0%
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? May 13 $52 $0 -0%
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros May 12 $12 +$8 +73%
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series? May 08 $49 $0 -0%
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 07 $44 $0 -0%
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 30 $47 $0 -0%
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Apr 27 $46 $0 -0%
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 21 $49 $0 -0%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 m Apr 21 $44 $0 -0%
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026? Apr 20 $48 $0 -0%
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026? Apr 20 $49 $0 -0%
Will Hong Ihk-pyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 19 $45 $0 -0%
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 19 $49 $0 -0%
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 18 $50 $0 -0%
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch? Apr 06 $4 $0 +9%
Based FDV above $4B one day after launch? Apr 06 $7 $0 +0%
Trump out as President by March 31? Mar 06 $14 $0 +2%
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Oct 07 $13 $0 -0%
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion? Sep 18 $37 −$1 -2%
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion? Jun 16 $14 $0 -1%
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals? May 12 $50 −$1 -2%
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals? May 05 $45 $0 -0%
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? Jan 10 $326 −$3 -1%
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? Oct 31 $2,572 −$7 -0%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? Oct 28 $2,119 −$7 -0%
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? Oct 26 $1,249 −$10 -1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 88% −$26
other 8% −$9
sports 2% +$7
crypto 1% $0
economics 1% $0
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in June? BUY No 100¢ $30 1h
Will Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in SELL No 100¢ $10 17d
Will Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in BUY No 100¢ $10 17d
Will XRP reach $3.00 in May? BUY No 100¢ $12 18d
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $11 19d
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $11 19d
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June SELL No 100¢ $10 20d
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June BUY No 100¢ $10 20d
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $10 22d
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $10 23d
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $10 23d
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $10 23d
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $10 24d
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 100¢ $10 24d
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May? BUY No 100¢ $19 24d
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $10 25d
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $10 25d
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-05-20? BUY No 68¢ $8 25d
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 100¢ $10 26d
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY No 100¢ $10 26d
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $55 27d
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $55 27d
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $52 31d
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $52 31d
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros BUY Seattle Mariners 57¢ $12 34d
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 100¢ $49 37d
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 100¢ $49 37d
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $44 38d
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $44 38d
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $45 39d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-10.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤30d 11 -9.2% -17.8% 18% 0% -12.7%
≤90d 26 -0.8% -10.2% 19% 4% -9.5%
all 36 -0.7% -10.2% 17% 3% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.2% 3% -9.9%
10% -18.8% 3% -18.5%
15% -26.6% 3% -26.4%
20% -33.8% 3% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $30.23 · official $30.23 (match) · 337 history records